The 2026 FIFA World Cup knockout stage is where 48 teams become one. This interactive bracket tracks every round — from the Round of 32 through the July 19 final at MetLife Stadium — and lets you dig into any team or matchup along the way.
Tap any team to see its full projected path: the odds to reach each round and lift the trophy, its group-finish breakdown, plus manager, recent form, set-piece takers, World Cup pedigree, and how the model's title odds stack up against the betting market. Tap any matchup to compare both sides side by side. As group play wraps and teams clinch their spots, the bracket fills in — or you can drop in the projected qualifiers yourself with one switch.
The projections come from Nick Giffen's daily tournament simulations, refreshed throughout the World Cup. For the full team-by-team advancement numbers behind this bracket, see World Cup Tournament Projections: Full Tournament Simulations. And to break down any single fixture — per-game win probability, projected score, FIFA and Elo ratings, head-to-head history back to 1930, and current form — head to our 2026 FIFA World Cup Matchup Tool.
Now dive in: pick your dark horse, chase the upsets, and map every road to the final at MetLife. The bracket's wide open — go fill it in.
World Cup 2026 Knockout Bracket: Matchup Predictions & Qualified Teams
As the 2026 World Cup knockout stage takes shape, this section breaks down every confirmed knockout matchup and every team that has booked its place — each with Action Network’s model projections, FIFA and Elo ratings, and the road ahead. Use the bracket above to map any path to the MetLife final; the write-ups below update as teams qualify and fixtures lock in.
Knockout Matchups
🇫🇷 France vs 🇪🇸 Spain: Semi-finals Result
Spain advanced past France in the semi-finals on Jul 14 in Dallas (Match 101) to reach the final. Action Network’s model gives Spain a 52.9% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
🏴 England vs 🇦🇷 Argentina: Semi-finals Prediction & Odds
England meet Argentina in the semi-finals on Jul 15 in Atlanta (Match 102). Action Network’s model leans England, who carry 23.2% title odds to Argentina’s 11.6% and rank #4 to #1 in the FIFA rankings (2042 Elo to 2113). On tournament-long projections, England sit at 46.7% to reach the final and Argentina at 31.8%. For the full per-game projection — win probability, projected score and goal total — open the Matchup Tool above.
France vs Morocco: Quarter-finals Result
France advanced past Morocco in the quarter-finals on Jul 9 in Boston (Match 97) to reach the semi-finals. Action Network’s model gives France a 35.1% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Spain vs Belgium: Quarter-finals Result
Spain advanced past Belgium in the quarter-finals on Jul 10 in Los Angeles (Match 98) to reach the semi-finals. Action Network’s model gives Spain a 24.6% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Norway vs England: Quarter-finals Result
England advanced past Norway in the quarter-finals on Jul 11 in Miami (Match 99) to reach the semi-finals. Action Network’s model gives England a 23.2% chance to win the World Cup and 69.3% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Argentina vs Switzerland: Quarter-finals Result
Argentina advanced past Switzerland in the quarter-finals on Jul 11 in Kansas City (Match 100) to reach the semi-finals. Action Network’s model gives Argentina a 11.6% chance to win the World Cup and 73.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Paraguay vs France: Round of 16 Result
France advanced past Paraguay in the Round of 16 on Jul 4 in Philadelphia (Match 89) to reach the quarter-finals. Action Network’s model gives France a 35.1% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Canada vs Morocco: Round of 16 Result
Morocco advanced past Canada in the Round of 16 on Jul 4 in Houston (Match 90) to reach the quarter-finals. Action Network’s model gives Morocco a 0.0% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Brazil vs Norway: Round of 16 Result
Norway advanced past Brazil in the Round of 16 on Jul 5 in New York/New Jersey (Match 91) to reach the quarter-finals. Action Network’s model gives Norway a 4.3% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Mexico vs England: Round of 16 Result
England advanced past Mexico in the Round of 16 on Jul 5 in Mexico City (Match 92) to reach the quarter-finals. Action Network’s model gives England a 23.2% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Portugal vs Spain: Round of 16 Result
Spain advanced past Portugal in the Round of 16 on Jul 6 in Dallas (Match 93) to reach the quarter-finals. Action Network’s model gives Spain a 24.6% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
United States vs Belgium: Round of 16 Result
Belgium advanced past the United States in the Round of 16 on Jul 6 in Seattle (Match 94) to reach the quarter-finals. Action Network’s model gives Belgium a 0.0% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Argentina vs Egypt: Round of 16 Result
Argentina advanced past Egypt in the Round of 16 on Jul 7 in Atlanta (Match 95) to reach the quarter-finals. Action Network’s model gives Argentina a 11.6% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Switzerland vs Colombia: Round of 16 Result
Switzerland advanced past Colombia in the Round of 16 on Jul 7 in Vancouver (Match 96) to reach the quarter-finals. Action Network’s model gives Switzerland a 1.3% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
South Africa vs Canada: Round of 32 Result
Canada advanced past South Africa in the Round of 32 on Jun 28 in Los Angeles (Match 73) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives Canada a 0.0% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Germany vs Paraguay: Round of 32 Result
Paraguay advanced past Germany in the Round of 32 on Jun 29 in Boston (Match 74) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives Paraguay a 0.0% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Netherlands vs Morocco: Round of 32 Result
Morocco advanced past Netherlands in the Round of 32 on Jun 30 in Guadalajara (Match 75) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives Morocco a 0.0% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Brazil vs Japan: Round of 32 Result
Brazil advanced past Japan in the Round of 32 on Jun 29 in Houston (Match 76) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives Brazil a 0.0% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
France vs Sweden: Round of 32 Result
France advanced past Sweden in the Round of 32 on Jun 30 in New York/New Jersey (Match 77) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives France a 35.1% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Ivory Coast vs Norway: Round of 32 Result
Norway advanced past Ivory Coast in the Round of 32 on Jun 30 in Dallas (Match 78) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives Norway a 4.3% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Mexico vs Ecuador: Round of 32 Result
Mexico advanced past Ecuador in the Round of 32 on Jul 1 in Mexico City (Match 79) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives Mexico a 0.0% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
England vs Congo: Round of 32 Result
England advanced past Congo in the Round of 32 on Jul 1 in Atlanta (Match 80) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives England a 23.2% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
United States vs Bosnia-Herzegovina: Round of 32 Result
The United States advanced past Bosnia-Herzegovina in the Round of 32 on Jul 2 in San Francisco (Match 81) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives the United States a 0.0% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Belgium vs Senegal: Round of 32 Result
Belgium advanced past Senegal in the Round of 32 on Jul 2 in Seattle (Match 82) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives Belgium a 0.0% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Portugal vs Croatia: Round of 32 Result
Portugal advanced past Croatia in the Round of 32 on Jul 2 in Toronto (Match 83) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives Portugal a 0.0% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Spain vs Austria: Round of 32 Result
Spain advanced past Austria in the Round of 32 on Jul 2 in Los Angeles (Match 84) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives Spain a 24.6% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Switzerland vs Algeria: Round of 32 Result
Switzerland advanced past Algeria in the Round of 32 on Jul 2 in Vancouver (Match 85) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives Switzerland a 1.3% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Argentina vs Cape Verde: Round of 32 Result
Argentina advanced past Cape Verde in the Round of 32 on Jul 3 in Miami (Match 86) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives Argentina a 11.6% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Colombia vs Ghana: Round of 32 Result
Colombia advanced past Ghana in the Round of 32 on Jul 3 in Kansas City (Match 87) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives Colombia a 0.0% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
Australia vs Egypt: Round of 32 Result
Egypt advanced past Australia in the Round of 32 on Jul 3 in Dallas (Match 88) to reach the Round of 16. Action Network’s model gives Egypt a 0.0% chance to win the World Cup and 100.0% to clear this round. For the full per-game projection, open the Matchup Tool above.
How They Qualified
Teams that have clinched a knockout berth, ordered by title odds.
🇫🇷 France — Round of 32 (Group I winners)
France have locked up top spot in Group I and open the knockout stage on Jun 30 in New York/New Jersey (Match 77). Action Network’s tournament simulations give them a 100.0% chance to reach the Round of 16, 100.0% to make the quarter-finals and 35.1% to win the World Cup outright. Didier Deschamps’s side arrive on an 8-1-1 record (W-D-L) across their last 10, including a 3-1 win over Colombia, a 1-2 loss to Ivory Coast and a 3-1 win over Northern Ireland. Tap France in the bracket above for their full projected path.
🇪🇸 Spain — Round of 32 (Group H winners)
The model makes Spain a 24.6% pick to lift the trophy, with a 100.0% route to the Round of 16 and 100.0% to the quarter-finals. They reach the bracket as Group H winners and begin on Jul 2 in Los Angeles (Match 84). Under Luis de la Fuente (in charge since 2022), they bring a 7-3-0 recent record (W-D-L) — recent form includes a 0-0 draw with Egypt, a 1-1 draw with Iraq and a 3-1 win over Peru. See Spain’s full path in the bracket above.
🏴 England — Round of 32 (Group L winners)
England have locked up top spot in Group L and open the knockout stage on Jul 1 in Atlanta (Match 80). Action Network’s tournament simulations give them a 100.0% chance to reach the Round of 16, 100.0% to make the quarter-finals and 23.2% to win the World Cup outright. Thomas Tuchel’s side arrive on an 8-1-1 record (W-D-L) across their last 10, including a 0-1 loss to Japan, a 1-0 win over New Zealand and a 3-0 win over Costa Rica. Tap England in the bracket above for their full projected path.
🇦🇷 Argentina — Round of 32 (Group J winners)
The model makes Argentina a 11.6% pick to lift the trophy, with a 100.0% route to the Round of 16 and 100.0% to the quarter-finals. They reach the bracket as Group J winners and begin on Jul 3 in Miami (Match 86). Under Lionel Scaloni (in charge since 2018), they bring an 8-1-1 recent record (W-D-L) — recent form includes a 5-0 win over Zambia, a 2-0 win over Honduras and a 3-0 win over Iceland. See Argentina’s full path in the bracket above.
