Fulham vs West Ham Odds
Fulham Odds | +137 |
West Ham Odds | +190 |
Draw | +250 |
Over / Under | 2.5 -118 /-106 |
Marco Silva’s men will be hosting David Moyes’ West Ham United this Sunday with both sides looking to pick up all three points. Both sides are coming off impressive victories in midweek matchups and are looking to continue their good form.
Fulham is 12th in the Premier League and are coming off a 5-0 thrashing of Nottingham Forest. In their past three matches, they have scored 11 goals, more than they scored in their first 12 matches this season.
West Ham are coming off a shocking 2-1 win over Tottenham. West Ham is ninth in the league and hasn't lost in since November 4th.
Here is how I'm betting Fulham vs. West Ham.
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Fulham
Fulham looked as if they may be in a relegation scrap earlier in the season. However, over the past three matches they've picked up six points and scored 11 goals. They have deserved those goals as well, putting up almost three xG against both Wolves and Forest, and almost 1.5 xG against Liverpool.
The forwards — Alex Iwobi, Andreas Pereira and Willian — have all found their form at the same time and are all performing at or above their xG tally for the year.
Iwobi's addition has given Fulham another playmaker as he's created an average of almost four shot creating actions per 90 minutes, only behind Pereira and Willian. With those three creating, Raul Jiménez was going to start finding the net sooner or later. This front four is extremely creative, but lacks the defensive work rate to make this team tick. That's why João Palhinha is so vital to this squad.
Palhinha leads Fulham in tackles and is second in both interceptions and recoveries. That's going to be a huge factor against West Ham, which loves to play quick and on the counter.
West Ham
West Ham have won five of their past six matches and are unbeaten since the beginning of November.
The Hammers have become a thorn in the side of teams that like to hold possession and play a high line. The low block that Moyes likes to play has worked well against teams like Brighton, but against some of the weaker opposition, West Ham looks uncomfortable.
The Hammers have also been so successful lately because of their ability to finish. Jarrod Bowen is overperforming his xG number by almost 3.5 goals, one of the highest totals in the league. This is due to slow down at some point, it always does.
I have Fulham in a similar category to the likes of Palace, Bournemouth and Luton Town. In West Ham’s matches against those three, they created a combined xG of just over three goals. They struggle to create when the opposition lets West Ham have the ball and are much more comfortable sitting back and breaking quick.
Fulham vs West Ham
Prediction
If Fulham goes into this match looking to control possession, then I anticipate West Ham will win. They have proved that they are an efficient counter attacking side, and if they can do it against the likes of Brighton and Tottenham, they will be able to do it against Fulham.
If Fulham tries to beat West Ham at their own game, then I see this being as stale as watching paint dry. However, I don't see that happening.
I think Fulham is going to come out attacking, which is exactly what West Ham wants. For that reason, I'll be taking West Ham draw no bet, as well as Over 2.5 goals. I have this one at just over 2.9 goals, so while I like the spot, I also like the value.