Angels vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 12, 2023

Angels at Guardians

11:10 pm • BSGL

Los Angeles Angels

8-12

5 - 4

Cleveland Guardians

9-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Allen			3.81	7-8
T.Anderson			5.43	6-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Angels 8-12	+1.5-181	o9-105	+114
Guardians 9-12	-1.5+150	u9-115	-137

Friday 11:10 p.m.

May 12, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

Over 8.5-125

0.8u

Couldn’t resist

Over 8.5-120

L.Allen u16.5 Outs-110

1.5u

Allen a big time regression candidate - ERA is 2.70, but xERA is 5.65, hard hit % is 47% (12th percentile), and he’s allowed a 15% barrel rate (3rd percentile). LAA are 7th and 8th in wRC+ and OPS vs LHP respectively, with the 5th highest hard %. 8/12 lefty starters have stayed under this line (with 7 of 12 failing to make it past the 5th).

CLE -137

CLE -136

1.36u

Under 9-115

1.15u

Project 7.9; Guardians worst wRC+ v lefties. Both pens 3.2 ERA or lower

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The Guardians are just 12-10 (.545) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Angels	82-80	43-38	39-42	11-17	70-61

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Angels	74-80-8	37-40-4	37-40-4	10-17-1	62-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Angels	63-99	32-49	31-50	9-19	54-77

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	DET	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 7	DET -110
May 9th	DET	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -200
May 8th	DET	L 2-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	DET -200
May 7th	MIN	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE +132
May 6th	MIN	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -110

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Anthony Rendon
IF
Rendon is out with hip
Out
Zach Neto
IF
Neto is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Anderson, P	96	6	1	3
LM.Moore, P	36	2	1	1
RC.Estevez, P	23	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Ward, LF	1-5	0	0
2M.Trout, CF	1-4	1	0
3S.Ohtani, DH	0-2	0	0
4A.Rendon, 3B	3-5	1	0
4B. Phillips, PR	0-0	1	0
4L.Rengifo, 2B	0-0	0	0
5H.Renfroe, RF	1-5	0	1
6B.Drury, 2B	1-4	1	2
6B.Drury, 1B	1-4	1	2
7G.Urshela, 1B	1-5	1	1
7G.Urshela, 3B	1-5	1	1
8M.Thaiss, C	2-3	0	0
9Z.Neto, SS	2-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	96	4.1	5	3
RN.Sandlin, P	10	1.2	0	0
RJ.Karinchak, P	28	1	2	0
RT.Stephan, P	15	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	27	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	1	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	3-5	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-3	0	0	1
4J.Bell, DH	1-4	0	0	1
4T.Freeman, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Naylor, 1B	1-3	2	1	1
6G.Arias, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Gimenez, 2B	3-4	0	0	0
8M.Straw, CF	1-3	0	0	1
9C. Gallagher, C	0-4	0	0	0