Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 7, 2023

Twins at Guardians

5:40 pm • BSGL

Minnesota Twins

9-11

0 - 2

Cleveland Guardians

9-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Quantrill			5.24	4-7
J.Ryan			4.51	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 9-11	-1.5+106	o8.5-110	-160
Guardians 9-13	+1.5-128	u8.5-110	+132

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

May 07, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

Over 8-110

1.1u

MIN -1-125

2.5u

MIN -150

0.75u

Over 8.5-110

J.Ryan o4.5 Ks-125

1.25u

Yes it’s Cleveland, but 6 of the last 8 righty starters have cleared this mark against them. Ryan’s tweaked his arsenal (eschewing the slider for a split finger), which gives me a bit more comfort as he’s going up against a familiar inter-divisional opponent.

CLE +117

1.17u

CLE +1.5-145

MIN -135

1.35u

Over 8-110

0.55u

Bet to -116

CLE +120

0.6u

Need +120 or better

Under 8-108

Project 7; Guardians low wRC+ v righties, Twins 25% K rate against lefties

The Guardians are just 12-10 (.545) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 11% (15/142) against Cal Quantrill this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (33/251) against Cal Quantrill this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 6th	MIN	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -110
May 5th	MIN	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8.5	MIN +100
May 3rd	@NYY	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYY -120
May 2nd	@NYY	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7	NYY +132
May 1st	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE +108

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P	100	6	4	2
RE.Pagan, P	12	1	0	0
RB.Stewart, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Kepler, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
4B.Buxton, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
6J.Gallo, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Miranda, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Gordon, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Vazquez, C	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9R.Jeffers, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RC.Quantrill, P	95	7	4
RJ.Karinchak, P	17	1	1
RE.Clase, P	13	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-4	1	0
2M.Straw, CF	1-4	1	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	0	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-4	0	0
5J.Bell, DH	2-4	0	1
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-3	0	0
7G.Arias, SS	2-3	0	0
8W.Brennan, RF	0-3	0	0
9C. Gallagher, C	0-3	0	0