Guardians vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2023

Guardians at Yankees

11:05 pm • Amazon Prime Video

Cleveland Guardians

9-12

3 - 4

New York Yankees

10-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Schmidt			4.64	9-9
S.Bieber			3.80	6-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 9-12	-1.5+132	o7.5-115	-120
Yankees 10-9	+1.5-162	u7.5-105	+102

Wednesday 11:05 p.m.

May 03, 2023

Yankee StadiumBronx

NYY +101

NYY +1-125

NYY +108

0.43u

CLE -125

1.25u

NYY +111

0.56u

C.Schmidt u4.5 Ks-105

0.5u

Bet Labs projects 4.1; Guardians super low K rate of 19% against righties. Generated just 3 Ks facing 18 batters in this lineup on Apr 12

Under 7.5+100

0.5u

Project 6.9; positive regression coming for Schmidt with a FIP 2.5 lower than ERA. Limited Cleveland to 3 ER in first meeting. Both pens best in MLB ERA

NYY +125

0.63u

Bet to +120

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The Guardians are 5-74 (.063) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

Gleyber Torres has a miss rate of only 12% on outside fastballs this season -- tied for 12th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Shane Bieber has located his fastball away 63% of the time this season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Myles Straw is batting just .184 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- 14th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .109 (7-for-64) on Clarke Schmidt breaking pitches since last season -- fourth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 60% of the time (564/944) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% -- 100th Percentile.

Shane Bieber has located his fastball away 63% of the time (118/188) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	CLE	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7	NYY -162
May 1st	CLE	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -130
Apr 30th	@TEX	L 2-15	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TEX -125
Apr 29th	@TEX	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8	TEX +138
Apr 29th	@TEX	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7	TEX +190

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out

Clarke Schmidt
P
Schmidt is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Bieber, P	93	8	4	2
RE.Clase, P	12	1	0	1
RT.Stephan, P	10	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-5	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	1-5	1	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-4	0	0
5J.Bell, DH	1-3	0	1
6A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	1
7W.Brennan, RF	0-4	0	0
8M.Straw, CF	2-4	1	0
9C. Gallagher, C	0-3	0	0
9O. González, PH	1-1	0	1
9M. Zunino, C	0-0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Schmidt, P	79	4.1	4	0
RI.Hamilton, P	16	1.2	2	0
RJ. Cordero, P	17	1	0	0
RR.Marinaccio, P	23	1.2	2	0
RC.Holmes, P	9	0.1	0	1
RA. Abreu, P	4	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2G.Torres, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Rizzo, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
3O.Peraza, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3A. Hicks, PR	0-0	1	0	0
3A. Hicks, CF	0-0	1	0	0
4D.LeMahieu, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4D.LeMahieu, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5W.Calhoun, DH	2-3	1	1	2
6H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6O.Cabrera, LF	0-1	1	0	0
7J.Bauers, RF	1-3	1	1	1
8I.Kiner-Falefa, LF	1-3	0	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, CF	1-3	0	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Trevino, PH	1-1	0	0	1