Astros vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 21, 2023

Astros at Braves

11:20 pm • Apple TV+

Houston Astros

13-9

6 - 4

Atlanta Braves

9-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Elder			3.81	12-4
H.Brown			5.09	11-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 13-9	-1.5+155	o8.5-122	-105
Braves 9-11	+1.5-195	u8.5+100	-115

Friday 11:20 p.m.

April 21, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

HOU +350 (Live)

3.5u

Over 4.5 (F5)-115

0.43u

Flat risk to -120

B.Elder o4.5 Ks-117

Fading the Astros seems scary, but this is a line that 10/13 RH starters have hit. Elder has looked good thus far, hitting this in 2/3 (and the one miss was 4 vs KC in gross conditions). He’s been great since coming back up to the majors last AUG - 52 K in 52.2 IP. Astros typically struggle with their first road game after a homestand. 7 righties in the lineup, and 7 guys with a K% of 22% or higher.

Over 4.5 (F5)-120

0.83u

HOU -110 (F5)

0.44u

HOU -102

0.4u

Over 9+100

B.Elder o4.5 Ks-128

0.78u

Available on FanDuel. This number just seems low for Elder, given what he has done to open the year (and down the stretch last year). Elder altered his approach when he came back up in August, favoring a four-seam fastball rather than a sinker. In eight starts with this new approach, he has had 5-plus strikeouts in all but one outing, and he has had six-plus in all but two. I have him projected for 6.08 strikeouts tonight against a Houston team whose active roster has opened the year with a 23.6% strikeout rate against righties. I'll keep buying into Elder until the market views him more favorably.

HOU +100 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -110

HOU +105

0.53u

Bet to +100

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See more MLB Coverage

The Astros are 31-15 (.674) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 19th	@SD	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 9	SD -120
Apr 19th	@SD	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 7.5	ATL -140
Apr 18th	@SD	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -145
Apr 16th	@KC	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9	ATL -160
Apr 15th	@KC	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL -142

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Taylor Trammell
OF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
OF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
P
France is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brown, P	93	4.2	7	4
RP.Maton, P	9	1.1	1	0
RR.Stanek, P	14	1	1	0
RH.Neris, P	12	1	2	0
RR.Pressly, P	22	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Dubon, 2B	3-5	2	0	1
2A.Bregman, 3B	2-4	0	0	1
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-4	1	1	2
4J.Abreu, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5K.Tucker, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Pena, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7C.Julks, LF	2-3	1	0	0
8Y.Diaz, C	1-4	1	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	2-4	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	98	6	6	0
RJ.Chavez, P	11	0	0	3
LD.Lee, P	17	1	1	0
RN.Anderson, P	14	1	1	0
LA.Minter, P	22	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-5	1	0
2M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	2-4	1	1
4S.Murphy, C	0-2	1	0
5E.Rosario, DH	1-4	0	0
6O.Albies, 2B	1-3	1	2
7V.Grissom, SS	1-4	0	1
8S.Hilliard, CF	0-4	0	0
9K.Pillar, LF	0-3	0	0