Astros vs Yankees Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - May 7, 2024

Astros at Yankees

11:05 pm • TBS

Houston Astros

50-54

3 - 10

New York Yankees

57-45

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Gil			3.50	15-7
J.Verlander			5.48	5-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 50-54	+1.5-191	o8.5-113	+103
Yankees 57-45	-1.5+160	u8.5-107	-122

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

May 07, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

NYY -125

HOU +105 (F5)

NYY -120

NYY -125

Over 8.5-115

0.87u

Y.Alvarez o0.5 HR+265

0.5u

HOU +105

$1.00

L.Gil u5.5 Ks+120

0.6u

HOU +100

1.5u

L.Gil o2.5 BB+105

0.53u

NYY -116 (F5)

0.5u

Gil compars very favorably to Verlander so far in terms of pitch modeling and estimators - NYY 12 pt wRC+ edge v RHP & better defense.

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .228 (263-for-1,154) against Astros RPs with RISP since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB. The Yankees are batting just .241 with RISP since the 2022 season -- tied for fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Yankees have won 64% of their games this season -- tied for fourth best in MLB. Astros have won just 35% of their games this season -- tied for fourth worst.

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The Astros are 56-40 (.583) on the road since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .481.

The Astros are just 8-13 (.381) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 67-39 (.632) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .587.

Trent Grisham has struck out in 28% of PA's since the 2022 season -- sixth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Luis Gil has a first-pitch strike rate of just 43% (20/46) over the last 14 days -- 2nd lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% -- fourth Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .513 (682 PA's) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .711 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 26-27 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 24 of Yankees' 49 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	48-54	22-27	26-27	40-45	8-9
Astros	50-54	25-28	25-26	13-23	35-28

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	44-54-4	24-23-2	20-31-2	35-46-4	9-8
Astros	52-46-6	28-23-2	24-23-4	20-15-1	31-27-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	57-45	26-23	31-22	49-36	8-9
Astros	50-54	26-27	24-27	16-20	32-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 5th	DET	W 5-2	-1.5 W	O 6.5	NYY -135
May 4th	DET	W 5-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYY -170
May 3rd	DET	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYY -170
May 2nd	@BAL	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 9	BAL -105
May 1st	@BAL	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	NYY +127

Clarke Schmidt
SP
Schmidt is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Verlander, P	97	5	2	7
RT.Scott, P	16	1	0	1
RB.Bielak, P	30	1	0	2
RS.Martinez, P	20	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
1J.Amaya, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
2K.Tucker, RF	1-2	1	1	1
2J.Loperfido, RF	0-1	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	0-1	0	0	0
3Y.Diaz, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3Y.Diaz, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Pena, SS	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Singleton, 1B	0-1	1	0	0
7V.Caratini, C	0-4	1	0	0
8T.Cabbage, LF	1-4	0	0	2
9J.Meyers, CF	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Gil, P	97	6	5	1
RR.Marinaccio, P	24	2	0	0
RM.Tonkin, P	28	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-5	1	1	3
1J.Jones, RF	0-0	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	3-4	2	0	0
2O.Cabrera, PR	0-0	0	0	0
2O.Cabrera, RF	0-0	0	0	0
2O.Cabrera, SS	0-0	0	0	0
3A.Judge, CF	1-3	1	0	1
3T.Grisham, CF	0-0	0	0	0
4A.Verdugo, LF	3-5	1	1	4
5G.Stanton, DH	1-4	2	1	1
6A.Rizzo, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
7G.Torres, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Trevino, C	1-4	1	0	0
9J.Berti, 3B	2-4	1	0	1