Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 23, 2024

Blue Jays at Tigers

10:40 pm • BSDET

Toronto Blue Jays

11-6

9 - 1

Detroit Tigers

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Flaherty			2.95	7-5
K.Gausman			3.83	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 11-6	-1.5	-1.5+160	o7.5-113	-108
Tigers 8-8	u7.5	+1.5-185	u7.5-106	-112

Thursday 10:40 p.m.

May 23, 2024

Comerica ParkDetroit

DET -113

J.Flaherty o17.5 Outs-139

$1079.14

Over 7.5-113

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

Under 4 (F5)-135

Under 7.5-105

J.Flaherty o17.5 Outs-120

Flaherty is over this line in 8/9 starts, including 4/4 at home. 3.79 ERA / 2.91 xERA, with excellent walk, hard hit and ground ball numbers. The Blue Jays are at a 78 wRC+ and .609 OPS away from home vs righties. Flaherty with excellent numbers vs this roster (collectively 7/52 with a .529 OPS - Springer, Turner, Bichette and VGJ are 4/29).

TOR -105

2.5u

J.Flaherty u5.5 Ks+115

0.5u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)+120

0.5u

Featured Insight
Blue Jays right-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against LHP since last season -- lowest in MLB. Tigers RPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs right-handed batters since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Tigers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Blue Jays have answered-back in just 23% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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MLB NRFI/YRFI Model Predictions for Thursday
Billy Ward•
May 23, 2024 UTC

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The Tigers are just 86-7 (.925) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

George Springer has an OPS of just .696 since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Tyler Holton has allowed an OPS of just .542 (420 PAs) since last season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Daulton Varsho has an OPS of just .691 since last season -- 11th worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Tyler Holton has allowed an OPS of just .542 (420 PAs) since last season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (145/404) against Jack Flaherty this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Tigers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 22nd	@KC	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 7	KC -118
May 21st	@KC	L 3-10	-1.5 L	O 9	KC -104
May 20th	@KC	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	KC -108
May 19th	@ARI	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 9	ARI +120
May 19th	@ARI	W 8-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	DET +120

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

Alex Cobb
P
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Jose Urquidy
P
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gausman, P	98	6	10	1
RZ.Pop, P	7	1	0	0
RT.Richards, P	12	1	0	0
LT.Mayza, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Schneider, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2D.Jansen, C	2-4	2	0	1
3V.Guerrero, 1B	2-5	2	1	2
4B.Bichette, SS	3-5	1	0	1
5D.Vogelbach, DH	1-3	0	0	0
5C.Biggio, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5C.Biggio, DH	0-0	1	0	0
5J.Turner, PH	1-1	0	0	1
5E.Clement, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5E.Clement, DH	0-0	0	0	0
6G.Springer, RF	0-3	0	0	1
7D.Varsho, LF	1-4	1	1	2
8I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
9K.Kiermaier, CF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Flaherty, P	103	6.1	9	3
RA.Faedo, P	32	1.2	1	3
RM.Englert, P	23	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Greene, DH	0-3	0	0
1A.Ibanez, PH	1-1	0	0
2M.Vierling, LF	1-4	0	0
3W.Perez, CF	1-4	0	1
4K.Carpenter, RF	0-3	0	0
5G.Urshela, 3B	0-3	0	0
6S.Torkelson, 1B	0-2	0	0
7C.Keith, 2B	0-3	0	0
8J.Baez, SS	1-3	1	0
9C.Kelly, C	1-3	0	0