Braves vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2023

Braves at Guardians

11:10 pm • BSGL

Atlanta Braves

4-2

5 - 6

Cleveland Guardians

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Bieber			3.80	6-6
K.Allard			6.57	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 4-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Guardians 4-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

July 04, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

Over 8.5-120

ATL -135

2.7u

M.Olson o1.5 Total Bases-120

Restoring order morning wood with @Royal_Locks

O.Albies o0.5 HR+480

0.24u

Dingers

ATL -145

$1.00

A.Rosario o1.5 Total Bases+125

0.63u

Over 9-101

0.99u

Braves might score 80 runs

R.Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-125

$1.00

R.Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-125

0.8u

Went under last game, that never happens

Over 8.5-120

0.5u

Need -120 or 9 (+100)

S.Bieber o4.5 Ks-165

Over 9+100

J.Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases-105

0.5u

ATL -125

1.25u

ATL -112 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -116

ATL -115

0.58u

Bet to -116

ATL -116

0.58u

Full disclosure, I used a large DK boost to drive it up to +146 & play full unit, but will record at best available current price for what I would have played - All estimators at least 1/2 run above Bieber's 3.48 ERA & every pitch he throws is graded below aveage by PitchingBot, while the Braves smash all the pitches he throws (because they smash everything 123/118/161 wRC+ Rd/v RHP/L7), CLE 85 wRC+ v LHP - ATL pen 2/3 run better estimators L30 days too. Projecting Allard around 4.5

Multiple Picks from 62% MLB System
Alex Kolodziej•
Jul 4, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Fourth of July MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 4, 2023 UTC
Our Best MLB Bets for the Fourth of July
Action Network Staff•
Jul 4, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Braves are 56-24 (.700) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .536.

84% of non-fastball strikeouts for Ozzie Albies are located out of the zone this season -- sixth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 83% of Shane Bieber non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 4-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	4-3	N/A	4-3	N/A	4-3
Braves	5-2	4-2	1-0	5-2	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	3-4	N/A	3-4	N/A	3-4
Braves	1-6	0-6	1-0	1-6	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	4-3	N/A	4-3	N/A	4-3
Braves	5-2	4-2	1-0	5-2	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 3rd	ATL	L 2-4	-	-	-
Jul 2nd	@CHC	W 8-6	-	-	-
Jul 1st	@CHC	W 6-0	-	-	-
Jun 30th	@CHC	L 1-10	-	-	-
Jun 29th	@KC	L 3-4	-	-	-

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Sean Murphy
C
Murphy is out with hip
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with finger
Out
Spencer Strider
SP
Strider is out with oblique
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LK.Allard, P	73	5	3	3
RC. McHugh, P	18	1	1	0
RK.Yates, P	22	1	0	2
RJ.Jimenez, P	24	1	2	0
RN.Anderson, P	10	1	0	0
RR.Iglesias, P	4	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-4	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-3	2	2	3
3A.Riley, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
5T.d'Arnaud, C	1-5	0	0	1
5S.Hilliard, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5S.Murphy, C	0-0	0	0	0
6M.Ozuna, DH	2-5	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	1-4	0	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Bieber, P	97	4.2	4	4
RE.Morgan, P	17	1.1	2	0
RN.Sandlin, P	18	1	2	0
RT.Stephan, P	10	1	0	0
RE.Clase, P	14	1	1	1
RE.De Los Santos, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-5	2	0	1
2A.Rosario, SS	3-5	2	1	4
3J.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Bell, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4G.Arias, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
5A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Fry, RF	2-4	0	0	1
6D.Fry, C	2-4	0	0	1
7T.Freeman, 3B	2-4	2	0	0
8M.Straw, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9C. Gallagher, C	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Brennan, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Brennan, RF	0-2	0	0	0