Braves vs Marlins Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - October 3, 2022

ATL @ MIA

10:40 pm • BSFL

Atlanta Braves

85-71

0 - 4

Miami Marlins

57-99

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.32	4-7
B.Elder			3.17	2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 85-71	-1.5+112	o7-122	-162
Marlins 57-99	+1.5-134	u7+100	+136

Monday 10:40 p.m.

October 03, 2022

Marlins ParkMiami

Monday MLB System Predictions
Avery Zimmerman•
Oct 3, 2022 UTC

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The Braves are 107-82 (.566) on the road since the 2020 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

Marcell Ozuna is batting just .222 this season -- 13th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .186 (52-for-280) against Jesus Luzardo this season -- tied for fifth best among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Bryce Elder has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (29/56) -- 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% -- third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (23/41) against Bryce Elder -- tied for 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% -- 89th Percentile.

ATL

MIA

No props found

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 2nd	@MIL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7	MIA +150
Oct 1st	@MIL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA +155
Oct 1st	@MIL	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 6	MIL +155
Sep 29th	@MIL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA +148
Sep 28th	@NYM	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 6.5	NYM +165

Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 37-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	72-84	35-46	37-38	2-15	70-69
Braves	72-84	32-43	40-41	57-68	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	81-64-11	53-20-8	28-44-3	11-5-1	70-59-10
Braves	57-89-10	24-48-3	33-41-7	44-72-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	57-99	30-51	27-48	4-13	53-86
Braves	85-71	42-33	43-38	72-53	13-18

Reynaldo Lopez
P
Lopez is out with shoulder
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Sixto Sanchez
P
Sanchez is out with shoulder
Out
Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	98	5	5	4
LT.Matzek, P	12	1	0	0
RJ.Chavez, P	17	1	1	0
RS. Bracho, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	2-4	0	0	0
3M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7W.Contreras, C	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
9R.Grossman, LF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LJ.Luzardo, P	101	6	12
RJ. Brigham, P	12	1	1
RB.Hoeing, P	11	1	0
LR. Bleier, P	7	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Berti, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2J.Wendle, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
3B.De La Cruz, CF	3-4	2	1	3
4A.Garcia, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Sanchez, DH	3-4	0	0	1
6N.Fortes, C	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Bleday, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Rojas, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9L. Díaz, 1B	0-2	0	0	0