Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - October 3, 2022

Braves at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Atlanta Braves

0-2

0 - 4

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.32	4-7
B.Elder			3.17	2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5+112	o7-122	-162
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-134	u7+100	+136

Monday 10:40 p.m.

October 03, 2022

Marlins ParkMiami

MIA +130 (F5)

0.65u

Wynn. Bet to +113

MIA +0.5 (F5)-110

0.5u

Bet to -127

Monday MLB System Predictions
Avery Zimmerman•
Oct 3, 2022 UTC

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The Braves are 107-82 (.566) on the road since the 2020 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

Marcell Ozuna is batting just .222 this season -- 13th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .186 (52-for-280) against Jesus Luzardo this season -- tied for fifth best among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Bryce Elder has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (29/56) -- 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% -- third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (23/41) against Bryce Elder -- tied for 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% -- 89th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 2nd	@MIL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7	MIA +150
Oct 1st	@MIL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA +155
Oct 1st	@MIL	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 6	MIL +155
Sep 29th	@MIL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA +148
Sep 28th	@NYM	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 6.5	NYM +165

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	98	5	5	4
LT.Matzek, P	12	1	0	0
RJ.Chavez, P	17	1	1	0
RS. Bracho, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	2-4	0	0	0
3M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7W.Contreras, C	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
9R.Grossman, LF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LJ.Luzardo, P	101	6	12
RJ. Brigham, P	12	1	1
RB.Hoeing, P	11	1	0
LR. Bleier, P	7	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Berti, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2J.Wendle, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
3B.De La Cruz, CF	3-4	2	1	3
4A.Garcia, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Sanchez, DH	3-4	0	0	1
6N.Fortes, C	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Bleday, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Rojas, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9L. Díaz, 1B	0-2	0	0	0