Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - August 11, 2023

Braves at Mets

11:10 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

4-2

7 - 0

New York Mets

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Megill			4.70	9-8
C.Morton			3.64	14-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 4-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Mets 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 11:10 p.m.

August 11, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

ATL o5.5-108

R.Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-120

$1.20

NYM +164

0.5u

Bet to +159

NYM +156

Megill worked on mechanics at AAA & increased velo, while Morton has a 4.41 SIERA/4.91 xERA - ATL has a decent offensive edge, but NYM have a better defense (25 Runs Prev. by projected LUs)

Featured Insight
The Mets have scored first in just 40% of their games this season -- lowest in MLB. The Braves have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season -- lowest in MLB.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
Braves Right Handed Hitters have struck out just 19% against LHP this season -- fifth-lowest in MLB. MetsRPs have a strikeout rate of just 23% vs right-handed batters this season -- tied for seventh-lowest in MLB.

TRY FOR FREE

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Friday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 11, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Braves are 38-15 (.717) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

The Mets are 45-1 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Pete Alonso has an OPS of .866 since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Yonny Chirinos has allowed an OPS of .790 (354 PAs) since last season -- 11th worst among qualified RPs-- sixth Percentile.

Pete Alonso has 13 home runs on breaking pitches this season -- tied for third most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 44% of the time this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (58/273) against Tylor Megill with runners in scoring position since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 0 Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 48% of the time (508/1,060) vs left-handed batters this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 1-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mets' 3 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	3-3	2-1	1-2	3-3	N/A
Braves	4-2	4-2	N/A	4-2	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	1-5	1-2	0-3	1-5	N/A
Braves	0-6	0-6	N/A	0-6	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	3-3	2-1	1-2	3-3	N/A
Braves	4-2	4-2	N/A	4-2	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 9th	CHC	W 4-3	-	-	-
Aug 8th	CHC	L 2-3	-	-	-
Aug 7th	CHC	W 11-2	-	-	-
Aug 6th	@BAL	L 0-2	-	-	-
Aug 5th	@BAL	L 3-7	-	-	-

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable

Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Sean Murphy
C
Murphy is out with hip
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with finger
Out
Spencer Strider
SP
Strider is out with oblique
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RC.Morton, P	105	5	4
RP.Johnson, P	8	1	2
LB. Hand, P	22	1	0
RK.Yates, P	22	1	1
LA.Minter, P	14	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	3-4	2	1	2
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5T.d'Arnaud, C	2-4	1	0	0
6M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	1	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	2-4	0	0	3
8O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Megill, P		84	5.1	3	5
RJ. Yacabonis, P		54	3.2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	1-2	0	0	0
1D.Stewart, RF	0-1	0	0	0
2F.Alvarez, C	1-5	0	0	0
3J.McNeil, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.McNeil, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
4A. Almonte, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Vogelbach, DH	0-5	0	0	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
7R.Ortega, LF	1-3	0	0	0
8D.Mendick, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9J. Araúz, SS	0-2	0	0	0