Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2024

Braves at Mets

8:10 pm • BSSE

Atlanta Braves

7-7

4 - 0

New York Mets

7-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Megill			4.04	4-5
S.Schwellenbach			3.35	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 7-7	-1.5+170	o7.5-119	+101
Mets 7-9	+1.5-202	u7.5-102	-120

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

July 27, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

Under 8-116

0.86u

ATL +110

0.28u

Small to +105

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

0.83u

ATL +103

2.06u

S.Schwellenbach u5.5 Hits Allowed-160

1.25u

Projection lands at 5.05 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -234 on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

Under 8.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -110

ATL -105

BP6

Featured Insight
The Braves have scored first in 60% of their games since last season -- highest in MLB. The Mets have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games since last season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Braves have struck out 26% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB.

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The Braves are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Jarred Kelenic has struck out in 28% of PA's this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Dedniel Nunez has a strikeout rate of 35% this season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 28% of PA's since the 2022 season -- sixth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. A.J. Minter has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- tied for 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 35% (124/353) against Spencer Schwellenbach this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 29% -- 99th Percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 71% (562/795) this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	ATL	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -135
Jul 25th	ATL	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7	NYM +100
Jul 24th	@NYY	W 12-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +143
Jul 23rd	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	NYM +130
Jul 22nd	@MIA	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM -148

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RS.Schwellenbach, P	89	7	11
RJ.Jimenez, P	8	1	1
RR.Iglesias, P	17	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	1	1	1
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5A.Duvall, RF	2-4	0	0	0
6E.Rosario, LF	1-4	1	1	1
7S.Murphy, C	0-2	1	0	0
8N.Alvarez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Megill, P	95	6	4	4
LD.Young, P	35	2	5	0
LA.Young, P	13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Nimmo, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.McNeil, LF	1-3	0	0	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8D.Stewart, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Torrens, C	1-3	0	0	0