Braves vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - July 25, 2023

Braves at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Atlanta Braves

4-2

1 - 7

Boston Red Sox

1-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Schreiber			3.86	2-1
C.Morton			3.64	14-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 4-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Red Sox 1-5	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

July 25, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 10.5-105

1.05u

BOS +125

1.25u

Pivetta & Morton have almost the same estimators - BOS 118/105 wRC+ Hm/v RHP, ATL 117/115 - Both defenses stink (though BOS is the worst) - Both pens have very similar estimators L30 days - Doesn't appear enough for ATL to be favored more than slightly on the road.

BOS +127

0.44u

BOS +118 (F5)

0.59u

BOS +130

0.65u

Bet to +121

R.Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-135

$1.35

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 25, 2023 UTC

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The Red Sox are 17-12 (.586) after a win as underdogs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

Enrique Hernandez is slugging just .263 on breaking pitches from RHP this season -- 14th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown a breaking pitch 49% of the time this season -- eighth highest among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Jarren Duran is slugging .710 on breaking pitches from RHP this season -- second best among hitters with at least 147 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown a breaking pitch 49% of the time this season -- eighth highest among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Joe Jacques has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (17 Total Bases / 17 ABs) vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (7 games) -- highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 -- 0 Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Joe Jacques over the last 30 days (7 games) -- 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 1-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Red Sox' last 5 games

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	1-5	N/A	1-5	1-4	0-1
Braves	4-2	4-2	N/A	4-2	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	4-2	N/A	4-2	3-2	1-0
Braves	0-6	0-6	N/A	0-6	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	1-5	N/A	1-5	1-4	0-1
Braves	4-2	4-2	N/A	4-2	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 23rd	NYM	W 6-1	-	-	-
Jul 22nd	NYM	W 8-6	-	-	-
Jul 22nd	NYM	L 4-5	-	-	-
Jul 19th	@ATH	L 5-6	-	-	-
Jul 19th	@ATH	L 0-3	-	-	-

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Sean Murphy
C
Murphy is out with hip
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with finger
Out
Spencer Strider
SP
Strider is out with oblique
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	80	3.2	1	4
RM.Tonkin, P	36	2.1	1	1
RJ.Jimenez, P	14	1	3	0
RD.Hernandez, P	21	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-4	1	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-4	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	0	0
5S.Murphy, C	1-4	0	1
6M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	1-3	0	0
7K.Pillar, PH	0-1	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	2-3	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	2-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Schreiber, P	24	1	0	1
RN.Pivetta, P	80	5	5	0
LR. Bleier, P	13	0.2	0	0
RC.Martin, P	5	0.1	1	0
LJ.Rodriguez, P	37	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-4	1	0	1
2J.Turner, DH	1-3	2	0	0
3R.Devers, 3B	2-5	1	0	1
4M.Yoshida, LF	3-4	1	1	2
5A.Duvall, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6T.Casas, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
7C. Arroyo, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
8C.Wong, C	1-4	0	0	0
9Y. Chang, SS	1-3	1	0	1