Brewers vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 17, 2023

I'm also showing value on the Brewers at +188 at FanDuel, so even if you can't get +195, I like this moneyline. I get why this number is here -- but it seems a bit too dismissive of Wade Miley. Miley has dealt with injuries, but when healthy, he has pitched well this year. His velo increased after his first stint on the IL. In seven starts since that return, he's letting up just a 30.9% hard-hit rate with a 26.3% fly-ball rate. The Brewers' offense is also much better against lefties now than it was earlier in the year thanks to the slick plate discipline skills of Carlos Santana. Clayton Kershaw is likely to be limited to around 80 or so pitches here as he works back from injury, but the market is treating this as if it's the same Kershaw we saw earlier in the year. I'm fine being lower than that and buying into an under-appreciated starter on the opposing side.