Brewers vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 27, 2023

Brewers at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

2 - 7

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			5.03	3-8
J. Teheran			4.39	3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 1-2	+1.5-161	o9-120	+124
Mets 7-6	-1.5+132	u9+100	-148

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

June 27, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

MIL +130

J.Teheran o2.5 Earned Runs-120

0.83u

Bet365 6:10.

J.Teheran o3.5 Ks-131

D.Peterson u15.5 Outs-130

1.3u

Under in 6/8 starts this season, while getting demolished the third time through the order (15/35, 4 homers, 1.302 OPS). Has had same issues in his career the 3rd time through - I don’t see Buck letting him pitch deep in this one. Plus, he’s not even pitching well in AAA right now (5.59 ERA in his 4 June starts). MIL has been noticeably better vs lefties - league average OPS and wRC+ over the L30 days - a big jump from being at the bottom of the league before hand. But the big draw here is MIL’s patient approach (4.04 pitches per PA - 2nd highest) and Peterson’s inability to throw strikes consistently (63% this season, bottom 33rd percentile).

MIL +1.5-150

$150.00

MIL +135

0.5u

Bet to +125. Tuesday

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The Mets are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Rowdy Tellez hit 14 home runs on breaking pitches last season -- tied for fourth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. David Robertson threw his curveball 49% of the time last season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

42% of Daniel Vogelbach strikeouts are looking this season -- tied for fifth highest among hitters with at least 114 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. 39% of Julio Teheran strikeouts are looking this season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

David Peterson has an ERA of 9.21 (28.1 IP) on the road this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 4.41 -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .088 (3-for-34) against Julio Teheran -- 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 -- 99th Percentile.

David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (199/388) of right-handed hitters since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 66% -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 26th	MIL	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIL -177
Jun 25th	@PHI	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 9.5	PHI +165
Jun 24th	@PHI	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 9.5	NYM -127
Jun 23rd	@PHI	L 1-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI -105
Jun 21st	@HOU	L 8-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	HOU +117

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Teheran, P	87	5.2	2	7
RP.Strzelecki, P	31	1.1	1	0
RB.Wilson, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Perkins, RF	0-5	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	2-5	1	0
3C.Yelich, LF	0-2	1	0
4W.Adames, DH	0-2	0	0
5O.Miller, 1B	2-4	0	0
5O.Miller, 2B	2-4	0	0
6L.Urias, 2B	0-3	0	0
6R.Tellez, PH	0-0	0	0
6R.Tellez, 1B	0-0	0	0
7B.Anderson, 3B	1-4	0	2
8J.Wiemer, CF	1-3	0	0
9A.Monasterio, SS	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	110	6	5	0
RD.Smith, P	23	1	2	0
RJ. Brigham, P	29	0.2	1	2
RD.Leone, P	19	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	2-4	2	2	3
2S.Marte, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	2-4	1	1	1
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
5J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6T.Pham, LF	1-4	1	0	1
7D.Vogelbach, DH	2-4	2	1	2
8B.Baty, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-3	0	0	0