Brewers vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 27, 2023

Brewers at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

Milwaukee Brewers

5-1

2 - 7

New York Mets

3-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			5.03	3-8
J. Teheran			4.39	3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 5-1	N/A	N/A	N/A
Mets 3-4	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

June 27, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

MIL +130

J.Teheran o2.5 Earned Runs-120

0.83u

Bet365 6:10.

J.Teheran o3.5 Ks-131

Over 9-112

1.12u

Under 5.5 (F5)-122

0.5u

Depends what you're buying into. Teheran's 3.29 xERA & positive PitchingBot grades? Peterson's 3.75 SIERA? Using Teheran's SIERA & Peterson's xERA gives you a different story, but average it all out and you may have two near average pitchers. However, NYM 73 wRC+ L7 days & MIL def 14 Runs Prevented (2nd MLB) - MIL 81 Rd wRC+/79 v LHP/71 L7 days - would rather avoid bottom of the league pens, especially w/ the top guys in both pens pitching last night.

MIL +1.5-150

$150.00

Over 9-120

POD

MIL +125

$1.00

MIL +124

0.5u

MIL +135

0.5u

Bet to +125. Tuesday

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The Mets are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Rowdy Tellez hit 14 home runs on breaking pitches last season -- tied for fourth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. David Robertson threw his curveball 49% of the time last season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

42% of Daniel Vogelbach strikeouts are looking this season -- tied for fifth highest among hitters with at least 114 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. 39% of Julio Teheran strikeouts are looking this season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

David Peterson has an ERA of 9.21 (28.1 IP) on the road this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 4.41 -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .088 (3-for-34) against Julio Teheran -- 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 -- 99th Percentile.

David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (199/388) of right-handed hitters since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 66% -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 1-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mets' 3 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	3-4	2-1	1-3	3-4	N/A
Brewers	5-1	5-1	N/A	5-1	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	2-5	1-2	1-3	2-5	N/A
Brewers	4-2	4-2	N/A	4-2	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	3-4	2-1	1-3	3-4	N/A
Brewers	5-1	5-1	N/A	5-1	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 26th	MIL	L 1-2	-	-	-
Jun 25th	@PHI	L 6-7	-	-	-
Jun 24th	@PHI	W 4-2	-	-	-
Jun 23rd	@PHI	L 1-5	-	-	-
Jun 21st	@HOU	L 8-10	-	-	-

Akil Baddoo
OF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Andrew Vaughn
IF
Vaughn is out with hand
Out
Quinn Priester
P
Priester is out with wrist
Out
Steward Berroa
OF
Berroa is out with shoulder
Out

Francisco Lindor
IF
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable
Tylor Megill
P
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
P
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Teheran, P	87	5.2	2	7
RP.Strzelecki, P	31	1.1	1	0
RB.Wilson, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Perkins, RF	0-5	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	2-5	1	0
3C.Yelich, LF	0-2	1	0
4W.Adames, DH	0-2	0	0
5O.Miller, 1B	2-4	0	0
5O.Miller, 2B	2-4	0	0
6L.Urias, 2B	0-3	0	0
6R.Tellez, PH	0-0	0	0
6R.Tellez, 1B	0-0	0	0
7B.Anderson, 3B	1-4	0	2
8J.Wiemer, CF	1-3	0	0
9A.Monasterio, SS	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	110	6	5	0
RD.Smith, P	23	1	2	0
RJ.Brigham, P	29	0.2	1	2
RD.Leone, P	19	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	2-4	2	2	3
2S.Marte, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	2-4	1	1	1
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
5J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6T.Pham, LF	1-4	1	0	1
7D.Vogelbach, DH	2-4	2	1	2
8B.Baty, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-3	0	0	0