Cardinals vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2024

Cardinals at Mets

8:05 pm • FOX

St. Louis Cardinals

8-11

7 - 4

New York Mets

8-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Houser			5.84	1-5
S.Gray			3.84	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 8-11	-1.5+124	o7.5-110	-135
Mets 8-10	+1.5-148	u7.5-110	+115

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

April 27, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM +115

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +107

Under 8-125

0.63u

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have allowed a SLG of just .299 this season -- third best in MLB. Cardinals hitters are slugging just .323 versus relief pitchers this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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MLB NRFI Picks: Saturday Model Predictions
Billy Ward•
Apr 27, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

Nolan Gorman has struck out in 36% of PA's this season -- sixth highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Reed Garrett has a strikeout rate of 50% this season -- tied for second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Joey Wendle has an OPS of just .608 since the 2022 season -- 15th worst among hitters with at least 522 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .481 (438 PAs) since the 2022 season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 75% of the time (350/469) with runners in scoring position since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 44% -- 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .177 (51 Total Bases / 288 ABs) on sliders since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .382 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	STL	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	STL -125
Apr 24th	@SF	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -112
Apr 24th	@SF	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7	SF +114
Apr 23rd	@SF	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	SF -107
Apr 21st	@LAD	L 0-10	+1.5 L	O 9	LAD +210

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	92	6	9	1
LJ.Romero, P	12	1	2	0
RA.Kittredge, P	11	1	1	0
RR.Helsley, P	24	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Donovan, LF	2-4	1	1
2W.Contreras, C	1-5	1	0
3L.Nootbaar, RF	0-4	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	1-4	2	1
5P.Goldschmidt, 1B	2-5	2	2
6A.Burleson, DH	1-2	0	0
6I.Herrera, PH	0-1	0	0
6I.Herrera, DH	0-1	0	0
7N.Gorman, 2B	2-4	1	1
8M.Winn, SS	1-3	0	1
9M.Siani, CF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Houser, P	89	4.1	2	6
LJ.Walker, P	24	1.1	1	0
RD.Nunez, P	25	1	3	0
LJ.Diekman, P	22	1.1	1	1
RS.Reid-Foley, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	2-4	1	0	2
2F.Lindor, SS	0-5	0	0	0
3P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
4J.Martinez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5D.Stewart, RF	1-2	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7T.Taylor, CF	1-4	1	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	0-1	1	0	0
8M.Vientos, PH	1-2	0	0	0
8M.Vientos, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Nido, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-2	0	0	0