Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - September 16, 2023

Cubs at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • MLB Network

Chicago Cubs

0-0

4 - 6

Arizona Diamondbacks

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Pfaadt			5.72	3-9
J.Steele			3.06	16-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	-1.5+122	o8.5-112	-138
Diamondbacks 0-0	+1.5-148	u8.5-108	+114

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

September 16, 2023

Chase FieldPhoenix

J.Steele o15.5 Outs-110

$136.36

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ARI +116

0.35u

ARI +130 (F5)

0.65u

Bet to +123

B.Pfaadt u5.5 Ks-158

B.Pfaadt u5.5 Ks-145

1.45u

Under in 12/15 starts, and just faced the Cubs last week (6 IP 4 K, despite 13 whiffs). I like the whiffs to come down in his second straight start vs CHC. Cubbies are at 19.7% K% over the L30 vs righties (even better on the road). And this is a a series with massive wild card implications - I expect both teams to have their pitchers on shirt leashes.

CHC -138

0.75u

ARI +123

0.62u

Bet to +107

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 5.2 runs per game at home this season -- tied for sixth-highest in MLB (75 games). The Diamondbacks have allowed 5.0 runs per game on the road this season -- sixth-highest in MLB (75 games).

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Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored three or more runs in an inning 95 times (7%) over the last week -- sixth-highest in MLB. Diamondbacks have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played over the last week -- tied for seventh-highest in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 50 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 14th	@NYM	L 1-11	-1.5 L	O 7	NYM -103
Sep 13th	@NYM	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 8	NYM -158
Sep 12th	@NYM	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	NYM -101
Sep 11th	@NYM	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	ARI +110
Sep 10th	@CHC	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 9	CHC +115

Ryne Nelson
P
Nelson is out with shoulder
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P		83	6	5	6
RM.Stroman, P		31	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, CF	1-3	0	0	0
2N.Hoerner, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	1-4	1	1	1
4C.Bellinger, 1B	0-2	1	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
6S.Suzuki, DH	1-4	1	1	2
7C.Morel, RF	2-4	1	1	1
8Y.Gomes, C	0-4	0	0	0
9N.Madrigal, 3B	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P	73	5.1	6	0
LA.Saalfrank, P	6	0.2	0	0
RR.Thompson, P	8	1	1	0
RK.Ginkel, P	17	1	2	0
LK.Nelson, P	13	0.1	1	3
RP.Sewald, P	10	0.2	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2C.Carroll, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3T.Pham, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-2	2	0	0
5L.Gurriel, LF	1-4	1	1	3
6E. Longoria, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6J. Peterson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6J. Peterson, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
7G.Moreno, C	4-4	1	0	0
8A.Thomas, CF	1-4	1	1	3
9G.Perdomo, SS	0-3	0	0	0