Cubs vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - April 14, 2024

Cubs at Mariners

8:10 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Chicago Cubs

80-60

3 - 2

Seattle Mariners

73-67

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Castillo			3.64	11-12
J.Assad			3.74	7-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 80-60	+1.5-185	o7-125	+120
Mariners 73-67	-1.5+154	u7+105	-142

Sunday 8:10 p.m.

April 14, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-136

0.68u

Featured Insight
The Cubs have allowed just 4.3 runs per game over the last week -- tied for 10th lowest in MLB (6 games). The Mariners have scored just 3.3 runs per game over the last week -- fifth lowest in MLB (6 games).

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 35% against the Mariners RPs since the 2022 season -- second best in MLB. Cubs hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 39% since the 2022 season -- eighth worst in MLB.

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The Mariners are 81-2 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Cubs are 20-18 (.526) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.

The Cubs are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Mariners are 68-14 (.829) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .783.

34% of Cody Bellinger strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- fourth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 60% of Luis Castillo's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

28% of Cody Bellinger strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 60% of Luis Castillo's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Javier Assad threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (148/318) of the time in the 2023 season -- lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 63% -- 0 Percentile.

Javier Assad threw his off-speed pitches for a strike just 45% (174/387) of the time in the 2023 season -- lowest among in NL; League Avg: 62% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 26-46 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Mariners' 68 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	55-85	29-39	26-46	32-64	22-19
Cubs	64-76	32-37	32-39	47-54	17-22

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	75-59-6	34-29-5	41-30-1	47-43-6	26-15
Cubs	63-69-8	31-34-4	32-35-4	43-52-6	20-17-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	73-67	41-27	32-40	51-45	20-21
Cubs	80-60	43-26	37-34	64-37	16-23

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 14th	CHC	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC +120
Apr 13th	CHC	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8	SEA -130
Apr 10th	@TOR	W 6-1	-	U 8.5	SEA +100
Apr 9th	@TOR	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TOR -108
Apr 8th	@TOR	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8	TOR +100

Michael Soroka
SP
Soroka is out with shoulder
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Assad, P	87	5.2	6	2
RY.Almonte, P	16	0.1	1	0
RM.Leiter, P	2	1	0	0
RH.Neris, P	28	1	1	0
RA.Alzolay, P	16	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2S.Suzuki, DH	2-4	1	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4N.Madrigal, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	1-4	1	0	0
6M.Busch, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
7N.Hoerner, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8M.Tauchman, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	103	6	9	2
RB.de Geus, P	14	1	1	0
LG.Speier, P	14	1	0	0
RT.Thornton, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	1-3	1	0	0
2M.Haniger, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-3	1	1	2
4T.France, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5D.Canzone, LF	0-0	0	0	0
5D.Moore, LF	1-3	0	0	0
6M.Garver, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7C.Raleigh, C	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Rodriguez, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8L.Raley, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, 3B	0-1	0	0	0