Cubs vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2023

Cubs at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Chicago Cubs

3-3

2 - 3

Miami Marlins

5-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.63	10-9
M.Stroman			3.95	10-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A
Marlins 5-1	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 10:40 p.m.

April 28, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

CHC -105

1.05u

CHC -115

0.58u

Project Stroman -150; Fish with one of the lowest wRC+ v righties

J.Luzardo u6.5 Ks-125

0.8u

M.Stroman o4.5 Ks-160

MIA +100

0.5u

Need +100 or better

MIA +103

1.03u

Unamerican to not celebrate the holiday

MIA -110

CHC -107

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-142

0.7u

CHC -105 (F5)

$1.05

CHC -109

0.55u

CHC -105 (F5)

0.53u

M.Stroman o4.5 Ks-142

MIA u3.5-112

0.89u

CHC -105 (F5)

0.4u

Cubs vs lefties and Stroman has legit been great this year

CHC -108

1.08u

Stroman has about 1/4 run edge on estimators through 5 starts - CHC 139/122/116 wRC+ Rd/v LHP/L7 days, MIA 83/84/86 - CHC top 5 pen by estimators, MIA better than only OAK

CHC +100

$35.00

Dabbundo: How I'm Betting Friday's MLB Slate
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Apr 28, 2023 UTC
Friday NRFI Pick: Back Stroman, Luzardo in Cubs-Marlins
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See more MLB Coverage

The Cubs were 31-29 (.517) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 in 2022 -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.

The Marlins are just 0-13 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.

The Marlins are just 80-84 (.488) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season -- 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Patrick Wisdom has struck out in 34% of PA's since last season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Jesus Luzardo has a strikeout rate of 29% since last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Patrick Wisdom is batting just .212 since last season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .207 (79-for-382) against Jesus Luzardo since last season -- tied for 14th best among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of .593 (27 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .500 (11-for-22) against Jesus Luzardo when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 -- first Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has walked 9 of 28 batters (32%) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Marlins' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	2-4	2-4	N/A	2-4	N/A
Cubs	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A
Cubs	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	5-1	5-1	N/A	5-1	N/A
Cubs	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	@ATL	W 5-4	-	-	-
Apr 26th	@ATL	L 4-6	-	-	-
Apr 25th	@ATL	L 4-7	-	-	-
Apr 24th	@ATL	L 0-11	-	-	-
Apr 23rd	@CLE	L 4-7	-	-	-

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Jordan Wicks
SP
Wicks is out with arm
Out
Seiya Suzuki
RF
Suzuki is out with knee
Out

Esteury Ruiz
LF
Ruiz is out with oblique
Out
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with hamstring
Out
Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Christopher Morel
LF
Christopher Morel (left oblique) scratched Friday.
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Stroman, P	92	6.1	3	2
RM.Leiter, P	5	0.2	1	0
RM.Fulmer, P	12	1	2	0
RM.Rucker, P	14	0	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	1-2	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	2-4	0	0	0
4S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5T.Mancini, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6C.Bellinger, CF	1-4	1	0	0
7P.Wisdom, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
7E. Hosmer, PH	1-1	0	0	1
7N.Madrigal, PR	1-1	0	0	0
7N.Madrigal, 3B	1-1	0	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	1-4	0	0	0
9N.Velazquez, DH	1-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	96	6.1	6	2
RH.Brazoban, P	14	0.2	1	0
RD.Floro, P	10	1	0	0
LA.Puk, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	2-4	0	0
2G.Cooper, 1B	0-4	0	0
3J.Soler, DH	1-4	0	0
3G.Hampson, PR	0-0	1	0
4L.Arraez, 2B	1-2	1	0
5A.Garcia, RF	1-3	0	0
6J. Segura, 3B	2-4	0	2
7J.Sanchez, LF	0-2	1	0
8N.Fortes, C	1-3	0	0
9J.Berti, SS	0-3	0	0