Cubs vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 9, 2024

Cubs at Orioles

10:35 pm • MASN2

Chicago Cubs

25-19

9 - 2

Baltimore Orioles

15-26

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Kremer			4.10	8-10
J.Taillon			3.27	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 25-19	+1.5-126	o9-105	+157
Orioles 15-26	-1.5+106	u9-115	-188

Tuesday 10:35 p.m.

July 09, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -1.5+110

$500.00

BAL -180

$500.00

BAL -1.5+130

CHC +150 (F5)

0.38u

Small to +142

CHC +155

0.39u

Small to +145

D.Kremer o4.5 Ks-165

FTN Model play of the day

D.Kremer o4.5 Ks-134

CHC +130

3.9u

Over 9-120

0.83u

Today’s Trend (see Twitter)

Featured Insight
Cubs hitters have a groundball rate of 46% over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Orioles over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Cubs have struck out 27% over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB.

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The Orioles are 18-27 (.400) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .276.

38% of Christopher Morel strikeouts are looking this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 42% of Craig Kimbrel strikeouts are looking this season -- 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Adley Rutschman is batting just .191 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- tied for 12th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Jameson Taillon has thrown his curveball 26% of the time since last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 100 total CB-- 89th Percentile.

Dean Kremer has thrown his changeup for a strike just 52% (343/658) of the time since the 2022 season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- sixth Percentile.

Dean Kremer has located his pitches away 55% of the time (457/827) when behind in the count since last season -- tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 44% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 8-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Orioles' 19 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	14-27	6-13	8-14	7-17	7-10
Cubs	22-22	10-12	12-10	13-12	9-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	19-19-3	12-5-2	7-14-1	13-9-2	6-10-1
Cubs	25-17-2	14-8	11-9-2	13-11-1	12-6-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	15-26	8-11	7-15	9-15	6-11
Cubs	25-19	12-10	13-9	16-9	9-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 7th	@ATH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8	BAL -176
Jul 6th	@ATH	L 8-19	-1.5 L	O 9	ATH -159
Jul 6th	@ATH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL -166
Jul 4th	@SEA	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 7	SEA -154
Jul 4th	@SEA	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7	BAL +124

Drew Pomeranz
RP
Pomeranz is out with elbow
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Trevor Rogers
SP
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	88	6	7	2
RT.Miller, P	15	1	0	0
RM.Leiter, P	8	1	1	0
RH.Bigge, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-5	2	0	1
2M.Busch, 1B	4-6	2	1	1
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-5	1	0	0
3C.Bellinger, RF	1-5	1	0	0
4S.Suzuki, RF	2-5	1	0	2
4P.Crow-Armstrong, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5I.Happ, LF	2-4	2	1	3
6C.Morel, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7D.Swanson, SS	0-5	0	0	1
8M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	2-3	1	0	0
9T.Nido, C	1-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	85	4	3	5
RB.Baker, P	33	2	3	0
LK.Akin, P	42	2	4	1
RD.Tate, P	23	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	2-4	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Westburg, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
6H.Kjerstad, LF	1-2	0	0	0
7R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9R.Urias, 3B	0-3	0	0	0