Cubs vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 12, 2024

Cubs at Pirates

5:35 pm • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

11-5

5 - 4

Pittsburgh Pirates

10-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			4.43	8-9
K.Hendricks			5.92	4-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 11-5	-1.5	-1.5+132	o9-106	-120
Pirates 10-8	u7.5	+1.5-157	u9-113	+100

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

May 12, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PIT -103

$2000.00

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

1.65u

CHC -115

0.87u

CHC -1.5+145

0.5u

O.Cruz o0.5 HR+450

0.9u

Under 8.5-115

1.15u

B.Falter u4.5 Ks-135

0.74u

Ballpark pal projects 3.71 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -169 giving value to this number

Featured Insight
The Cubs have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games since the 2022 season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Pirates have scored first in just 44% of their games since the 2022 season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Cubs are 23-19 (.548) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

Michael Busch has struck out in 35% of PA's this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 41% this season -- tied for fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Bailey Falter has allowed a slugging percentage of .565 (144 Total Bases / 255 ABs) on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .373 -- 0 Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .982 (54 Total Bases / 55 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .541 -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (21/160) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- 0 Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 11th	CHC	W 10-9	+1.5 W	O 7	PIT -107
May 10th	CHC	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 7	CHC -130
May 8th	LAA	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	LAA -135
May 7th	LAA	L 0-9	-1.5 L	O 7.5	LAA -135
May 6th	LAA	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8	PIT -170

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P	94	5	5	1
LR.Lovelady, P	11	0.1	0	1
RC.Brewer, P	26	1	2	0
RM.Leiter, P	17	1.2	2	0
RH.Neris, P	22	1	1	0
RA.Alzolay, P	17	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, SS	1-2	1	0	0
2S.Suzuki, DH	0-5	1	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-5	0	0	1
3C.Bellinger, RF	1-5	0	0	1
4C.Morel, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
4M.Mastrobuoni, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
5P.Wisdom, 1B	3-4	1	1	1
6M.Tauchman, RF	0-4	1	0	0
6M.Tauchman, LF	0-4	1	0	0
7I.Happ, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7P.Crow-Armstrong, PR	1-1	0	0	0
7P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	1-1	0	0	0
8N.Madrigal, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Madrigal, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Busch, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	81	6	1	2
RL.Ortiz, P	35	2	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	20	1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	23	0.2	0	1
RK.Nicolas, P	6	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-3	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-5	0	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	1-5	2	1	1
4C.Joe, RF	2-4	2	1	2
4C.Joe, 1B	2-4	2	1	2
5J.Suwinski, CF	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Suwinski, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6J.Triolo, 3B	0-3	0	0	1
7R.Tellez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7Y.Grandal, C	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Bart, C	1-3	0	0	0
8M.Taylor, PR	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Taylor, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Williams, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
9E.Olivares, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9N.Gonzales, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9N.Gonzales, 2B	0-0	0	0	0