Cubs vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2024

Cubs at Pirates

8:05 pm • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

0-0

9 - 10

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3
J.Steele			3.07	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	-1.5+150	o7-105	-112
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-180	u7-115	-107

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

May 11, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PIT -103

PIT -112 (F5)

Under 7-115

PIT -108

Livvy Dunne bump day

PIT -105

PIT +100

PIT -105 (F5)

0.5u

Skenes. Bet to -115

PIT +104

0.52u

Skenes. Bet to -107

Featured Insight
The Cubs have allowed just 1.5 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB (13 games). The Pirates have scored just 1.1 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- tied for lowest in MLB (12 games).

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The Cubs are 23-19 (.548) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

Bryan Reynolds has a miss rate of only 7% on inside fastballs since last season -- tied for 10th best among hitters with at least 295 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. Justin Steele has located his fastball inside 43% of the time since last season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (554/1,263) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 30% -- 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 75% of the time (560/751) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 51% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	CHC	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 7	CHC -130
May 8th	LAA	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	LAA -135
May 7th	LAA	L 0-9	-1.5 L	O 7.5	LAA -135
May 6th	LAA	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8	PIT -170
May 5th	COL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	O 7	PIT -162

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	74	4	3	6
RK.Thompson, P	38	1	2	3
LR.Lovelady, P	13	1	0	1
RJ.Cuas, P	33	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, DH	2-4	1	0	2
2S.Suzuki, RF	2-5	1	0	1
3C.Bellinger, CF	0-4	0	0	1
4C.Morel, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
4N.Madrigal, PH	0-2	0	0	0
4N.Madrigal, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
5I.Happ, LF	0-4	1	0	0
6N.Hoerner, SS	1-3	2	1	2
7M.Busch, 1B	0-2	1	0	1
8M.Mastrobuoni, 2B	3-4	2	0	1
9Y.Gomes, C	1-4	1	0	1
9P.Crow-Armstrong, PR	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Skenes, P	84	4	7	3
RK.Nicolas, P	23	0.2	2	4
LJ.Fleming, P	11	0	0	1
RC.Holderman, P	27	1.1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	27	1	2	0
RH.Stratton, P	11	1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	16	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	2-4	2	1	1
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Joe, 1B	1-5	1	1	3
3R.Tellez, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
4O.Cruz, SS	2-4	2	1	1
5E.Olivares, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Suwinski, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6N.Gonzales, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
7Y.Grandal, C	2-4	2	1	3
8J.Triolo, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	2-4	2	1	2