Diamondbacks vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - June 4, 2025

Follow @PicksOffice on X. Two aces. Two cold bats. One clear pick. Sale: 0.90 ERA, 0.85 WHIP last 3 starts—dominant vs Philly, 6 IP, 0 R, 8 Ks. Kelly: 1.06 WHIP, solid vs ATL historically (3.55 ERA). ATL hitting just .209 vs LHP last 10. ARI held to 3 or fewer in 5 of last 10. Consistent struggle. Park factors scream UNDER. Truist Park has gone under in 18 of 26 games. Braves post 2.91 ERA at home, just 4.0 runs per game. Wind under 10 mph = 5-12 to the under. Umpire Roberto Ortiz calls 64.6% strikes—pitcher-friendly zone. Braves under in 6 of last 9 overall. Both pens hold the line. ATL bullpen: 3.27 ERA, 1.17 WHIP. ARI bullpen: serviceable 4.23 ERA, keeps games close. Add quick turnaround, sub-.500 tension, and shaky RISP hitting. This one smells like 3-2.

The Diamondbacks have good plate-discipline skills, especially against lefties. Their active roster has a strikeout rate of 16.6% against lefties this year, lowest in the league. As a result, I have Sale projected closer to 6 strikeouts than 7.