Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 29, 2023

Diamondbacks at Dodgers

2:10 am • SportsNet LA

Arizona Diamondbacks

10-10

4 - 7

Los Angeles Dodgers

12-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Miller			3.76	11-4
Z.Gallen			3.47	17-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 10-10	+1.5-162	o8-115	+130
Dodgers 12-8	-1.5+132	u8-110	-155

Tuesday 2:10 a.m.

August 29, 2023

Dodger StadiumLos Angeles

B.Miller u5.5 Ks-106

Under in 10/15 starts, incl 4 Ks vs ARI earlier in AUG (only 8 whiffs). Even with ARI being a bit leakier on the K-front of late (24% over their L2 weeks vs righties), they’re also hitting to a 120 wRC+. 10/L14 righties under this line vs ARI.

LAD -150 (F5)

1.5u

LAD -140 (F5)

Under 8.5-105

0.53u

Bet to -106

LAD -145 (F5)

0.73u

Bet to -149

LAD -135

0.5u

Bet to -142

Featured Insight
The Dodgers have scored 5.4 runs per game since last season -- highest in MLB (291 games). The Diamondbacks have allowed 4.7 runs per game since last season -- ninth-highest in MLB (292 games).

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Featured Insight
Dodgers have struck out just 22% since last season -- tied for ninth-lowest in MLB. DiamondbacksRPs have a strikeout rate of just 22% since last season -- fourth-lowest in MLB.

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The Dodgers are 37-41 (.474) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .359.

Enrique Hernandez has an OPS of just .455 with two strikes this season -- 13th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .367 (355 PAs) with two strikes this season -- second best among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

Max Muncy has struck out in 26% of PA's since last season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Zac Gallen has a strikeout rate of 28% vs left-handed batters since last season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Dodgers are 39-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Dodgers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Dodgers' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 27th	@BOS	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 9.5	LAD -120
Aug 26th	@BOS	L 5-8	-1.5 L	O 10	BOS -130
Aug 25th	@BOS	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 10	LAD -130
Aug 24th	@CLE	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 9	LAD -130
Aug 24th	@CLE	W 6-1	-	-	-

Clayton Kershaw
P
Kershaw is out with toe
Out

Michael Kopech
P
Kopech is questionable with arm
Questionable
Michael Grove
P
Grove is out with shoulder
Out
River Ryan
P
Ryan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Gallen, P		101	5.1	3	6
RB.Jarvis, P		42	2.2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
3T.Pham, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5A.Thomas, CF	1-3	1	0	0
6L.Gurriel, LF	1-4	1	0	1
7G.Moreno, C	2-4	1	1	3
8J. Peterson, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8N.Ahmed, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9E. Longoria, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	86	6	4	4
LA.Vesia, P	12	1	1	0
RR.Brasier, P	10	1	0	0
LC.Ferguson, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2F.Freeman, 1B	1-5	1	1	1
3W.Smith, C	2-5	1	0	0
4M.Muncy, 3B	2-3	1	1	2
5D.Peralta, LF	1-4	2	0	0
6J.Heyward, RF	2-3	1	1	2
7J.Outman, CF	2-3	1	1	2
8E.Hernandez, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Busch, DH	1-3	0	0	0