Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 29, 2023

Diamondbacks at Dodgers

2:10 am • SportsNet LA

Arizona Diamondbacks

25-22

4 - 7

Los Angeles Dodgers

29-18

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Miller			3.76	11-4
Z.Gallen			3.47	17-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 25-22	+1.5-162	o8-115	+130
Dodgers 29-18	-1.5+132	u8-110	-155

Tuesday 2:10 a.m.

August 29, 2023

Dodger StadiumLos Angeles

B.Miller u5.5 Ks-106

Under in 10/15 starts, incl 4 Ks vs ARI earlier in AUG (only 8 whiffs). Even with ARI being a bit leakier on the K-front of late (24% over their L2 weeks vs righties), they’re also hitting to a 120 wRC+. 10/L14 righties under this line vs ARI.

LAD -150 (F5)

1.5u

LAD -140 (F5)

Under 8.5-105

0.53u

Bet to -106

LAD -145 (F5)

0.73u

Bet to -149

LAD -135

0.5u

Bet to -142

Featured Insight
The Dodgers have scored 5.4 runs per game since last season -- highest in MLB (291 games). The Diamondbacks have allowed 4.7 runs per game since last season -- ninth-highest in MLB (292 games).

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Featured Insight
Dodgers have struck out just 22% since last season -- tied for ninth-lowest in MLB. DiamondbacksRPs have a strikeout rate of just 22% since last season -- fourth-lowest in MLB.

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58% System Pick for Diamondbacks-Dodgers
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The Dodgers are 37-41 (.474) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .359.

Enrique Hernandez has an OPS of just .455 with two strikes this season -- 13th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .367 (355 PAs) with two strikes this season -- second best among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

Max Muncy has struck out in 26% of PA's since last season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Zac Gallen has a strikeout rate of 28% vs left-handed batters since last season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Dodgers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Dodgers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Dodgers are 10-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Dodgers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Dodgers' 24 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	23-24	13-11	10-13	19-22	4-2
Diamondbacks	22-25	12-14	10-11	14-18	8-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Dodgers	27-20	16-8	11-12	24-17	3-3
Diamondbacks	21-23-3	9-14-3	12-9	15-14-3	6-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	29-18	17-7	12-11	26-15	3-3
Diamondbacks	25-22	13-13	12-9	18-14	7-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 27th	@BOS	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 9.5	LAD -120
Aug 26th	@BOS	L 5-8	-1.5 L	O 10	BOS -130
Aug 25th	@BOS	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 10	LAD -130
Aug 24th	@CLE	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 9	LAD -130
Aug 24th	@CLE	W 6-1	-	-	-

Teoscar Hernandez
RF
Hernandez is out with hamstring
Out
Michael Kopech
RP
Kopech is out with arm
Out
Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out
River Ryan
SP
Ryan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
SP
Stone is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Emmet Sheehan
SP
Sheehan is out with arm
Out
Roki Sasaki
SP
Sasaki is out with shoulder
Out

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Gallen, P		101	5.1	3	6
RB.Jarvis, P		42	2.2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
3T.Pham, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5A.Thomas, CF	1-3	1	0	0
6L.Gurriel, LF	1-4	1	0	1
7G.Moreno, C	2-4	1	1	3
8J. Peterson, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8N.Ahmed, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9E. Longoria, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	86	6	4	4
LA.Vesia, P	12	1	1	0
RR.Brasier, P	10	1	0	0
LC.Ferguson, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2F.Freeman, 1B	1-5	1	1	1
3W.Smith, C	2-5	1	0	0
4M.Muncy, 3B	2-3	1	1	2
5D.Peralta, LF	1-4	2	0	0
6J.Heyward, RF	2-3	1	1	2
7J.Outman, CF	2-3	1	1	2
8E.Hernandez, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Busch, DH	1-3	0	0	0