Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - August 18, 2023

Diamondbacks at Padres

1:40 am • SDPA

Arizona Diamondbacks

35-34

3 - 1

San Diego Padres

38-30

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Hill			4.76	7-10
Z.Gallen			3.47	17-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 35-34	+1.5-196	o8-110	+105
Padres 38-30	-1.5+165	u8-110	-125

Friday 1:40 a.m.

August 18, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Over 8.5-102

3.06u

ARI -104

$0.96

ARI +100

$1.00

SD -105

Over 8.5-105

ARI -110

R.Hill u15.5 Outs+100

Under in 6/L8, including two very poor starts vs ARI (7.1 IP, 14 H, 8 R). 6.94 ERA over that span. He seems cooked, and he’s now pitching for a team chasing a playoff spot. With the pen in good shape, and Hill struggling mightily the third time through the order, I don’t see the Padres giving him any leash after the first time through.

SD -110

1.1u

ARI -106

$0.94

ARI o2.5 (F5)+120

0.6u

SD +106

0.5u

Bet to +102. And Hill too 😂. Only two missing are Keuchel and Arrieta (RIP)

Featured Insight
Padres have struck out just 22% since last season -- eighth-lowest in MLB. DiamondbacksRPs have a strikeout rate of just 22% since last season -- fourth-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Padres Right Handed Hitters have struck out just 19% against LHP since last season -- tied for third-lowest in MLB. DiamondbacksRPs have a strikeout rate of just 22% vs right-handed batters since last season -- tied for second-lowest in MLB.

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The Padres are just 48-27 (.640) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Christian Walker has an OPS of .725 with two strikes this season -- fifth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Rich Hill has allowed an OPS of .625 (312 PAs) with two strikes this season -- third worst among qualified SPs-- fourth Percentile.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .712 since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .597 (1,334 PAs) since last season -- eighth best among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 17-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Padres' 33 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	36-32	19-14	17-18	18-18	18-14
Diamondbacks	34-34	18-18	16-16	20-25	14-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	27-39-2	13-19-1	14-20-1	18-17-1	9-22-1
Diamondbacks	32-33-3	15-18-3	17-15	22-20-3	10-13

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	38-30	21-12	17-18	22-14	16-16
Diamondbacks	35-34	19-17	16-16	24-21	11-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 17th	BAL	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8	SD -190
Aug 16th	BAL	W 10-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	SD -111
Aug 15th	BAL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	BAL -144
Aug 13th	@ARI	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	ARI -149
Aug 13th	@ARI	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 9	ARI +120

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
SP
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Michael King
SP
Michael King (shoulder) has been scratched Saturday. Sean Reynolds will start for the Padres.
Out
Matt Waldron
SP
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Gallen, P	100	6.1	3	1
LK.Nelson, P	16	1.1	3	0
RJ.Martinez, P	29	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K. Lewis, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2C.Carroll, RF	0-3	1	0	0
3T.Pham, LF	1-4	1	1	2
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Kennedy, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
5J. Peterson, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5J. Peterson, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6G.Moreno, C	1-4	1	1	1
7A.Thomas, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Ahmed, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9G.Perdomo, 2B	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Hill, P		56	5	3	3
RP.Avila, P		52	4	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1H.Kim, 3B	0-4	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	0-2	0	0
3J.Soto, LF	0-4	0	0
4M.Machado, DH	0-4	0	0
5X.Bogaerts, SS	0-3	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-4	1	0
7L.Campusano, C	0-3	0	0
8G.Cooper, 1B	1-3	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	1-3	0	1