Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - July 9, 2025

Diamondbacks at Padres

1:40 am • ARID

Arizona Diamondbacks

46-48

0 - 1

San Diego Padres

50-43

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			3.07	9-2
M.Kelly			3.41	7-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 46-48	+1.5	+1.5-182	o7.5-114	+120
Padres 50-43	u7.5	-1.5+152	u7.5-105	-144

Wednesday 1:40 a.m.

July 09, 2025

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Under 7.5-105

Wind Wins Unders (Weather) Overall: 1068-726-81,60% (ROI:15%) Season:37-28-3,57% (ROI:9%)

SD -138

0.72u

SD -125

Taken on Novig for best price (Code "CEEJ" for free money on your 1st deposit) We saw this exact pitching matchup just a month ago, where Pivetta and the Padres beat up on Kelly and the Diamondbacks 8-2 in Arizona. Tonight, the Padres will be at home, and Nick Pivetta has been dominant against lefty bats this season. Almost the entire DBacks lineup is left-handed. Merrill Kelly will be on the mound for the DBacks, and he has not had good numbers vs this Padres team. Over the last 5 games vs San Diego, Kelly has allowed 4,4,3,5,4 earned runs. When these two teams played a month ago, Pivetta went 7IP and gave up 2 hits and 2 ER. Kelly went 5 IP and gave up 7 hits and 4 ER. The bullpen advantage goes to the Padres, who have a rested BP. The DBacks BP has been bad this season, and on top of that, they just used three arms yesterday and five over the last two days.

ARI +115

SD -130

Over 7.5-119

0.6u

Bet to 8 (-108)

Zerillo's MLB Predictions for Tuesday
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 8, 2025 UTC
Diamondbacks vs Padres: Over/Under Pick for Tuesday Night
Nick Martin•
Jul 8, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 24-23 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Padres' 46 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	48-45	24-22	24-23	22-27	25-18
Diamondbacks	46-47	21-27	25-20	26-36	20-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	37-52-4	18-27-1	19-25-3	24-23-2	13-28-2
Diamondbacks	49-41-3	24-21-3	25-20	33-26-3	16-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	50-43	29-17	21-26	29-20	20-23
Diamondbacks	46-48	23-25	23-22	31-31	15-16

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 8th	ARI	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	ARI -124
Jul 7th	TEX	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	SD -132
Jul 6th	TEX	L 4-7	-	O 8	TEX -125
Jul 4th	TEX	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	SD -112
Jul 2nd	@PHI	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI +126

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
John Curtiss
RP
Curtiss is out with elbow
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Michael King
SP
Michael King (shoulder) has been scratched Saturday. Sean Reynolds will start for the Padres.
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kelly, P		77	7	4	1
RJ.Curtiss, P		16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	1-3	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
3G.Perdomo, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5E.Suarez, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5B.Alexander, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5B.Alexander, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6L.Gurriel, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.McCarthy, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8R.Grichuk, DH	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Herrera, C	1-2	0	0	0
9A.Thomas, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RN.Pivetta, P	104	5.2	7
RJ.Estrada, P	25	1	3
LA.Morejon, P	8	0.1	1
RJ.Adam, P	15	1	0
RR.Suarez, P	20	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	1-3	0	0	0
2L.Arraez, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
3M.Machado, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4G.Sheets, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4B.Johnson, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4B.Johnson, LF	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Merrill, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6X.Bogaerts, SS	1-2	0	0	0
7J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Brooks, DH	0-3	0	0	0
9E.Diaz, C	0-3	0	0	0