Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - June 7, 2024

Diamondbacks at Padres

1:40 am • ARID

Arizona Diamondbacks

22-21

4 - 3

San Diego Padres

26-15

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 22-21	+1.5	-1.5+154	o8.5-110	-108
Padres 26-15	u8.5	+1.5-185	u8.5-110	-112

Friday 1:40 a.m.

June 07, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

ARI +130 (Live)

1.3u

ARI -105 (F5)

1.05u

SD PK-107

1.07u

ARI +102

1.02u

SD -123

0.75u

R.Vasquez u15.5 Outs-104

Projection leans to the under in this spot and a +ev bet with devig odds of -143 over on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

ARI +110

0.55u

Bet to +108

Under 8.5-110

0.5u

Bet to -118 or 8 (+100)

Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a hard-hit rate of 44% over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 45% against the Padres RPs over the last two weeks -- third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Padres right-handed hitters have struck out just 13% against LHP over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks have a strikeout rate of just 18% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Picks
Sean Zerillo•
Jun 6, 2024 UTC

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The Padres are just 7-21 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.

Eugenio Suarez has an OPS of just .580 this season -- eighth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Jeremiah Estrada has allowed an OPS of just .347 (70 PAs) this season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .715 since the 2022 season -- 12th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Paul Sewald has allowed an OPS of just .566 (524 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 10-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Padres' 20 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	25-16	15-5	10-11	14-8	11-8
Diamondbacks	21-22	11-12	10-10	13-15	8-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	19-21-1	8-11-1	11-10	12-9-1	7-12
Diamondbacks	19-21-3	8-12-3	11-9	13-12-3	6-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	26-15	15-5	11-10	16-6	10-9
Diamondbacks	22-21	11-12	11-9	15-13	7-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 6th	@LAA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	LAA -185
Jun 5th	@LAA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	LAA -108
Jun 4th	@LAA	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	LAA -155
Jun 2nd	@KC	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 8	KC +105
Jun 1st	@KC	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	SD +104

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Blaze Alexander
SS
Alexander is out with oblique
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
SP
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
SP
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Cecconi, P	81	4.1	3	3
LJ.Mantiply, P	23	1.1	1	0
RK.Ginkel, P	17	1.1	0	0
RR.Thompson, P	16	1	0	0
RP.Sewald, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, CF	3-5	2	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	2-4	0	0	1
3J.Pederson, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3R.Grichuk, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3R.Grichuk, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-5	0	0	1
5L.Gurriel, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6P.Smith, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.McCarthy, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6J.McCarthy, RF	0-0	0	0	0
7E.Suarez, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
8G.Moreno, C	1-4	1	1	1
9K.Newman, SS	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Vasquez, P	92	6.2	3	3
RJ.Estrada, P	18	0.1	1	1
RE.De Los Santos, P	18	1	0	0
LA.Morejon, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	3-5	1	0	0
3J.Profar, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
5D.Peralta, DH	1-2	0	0	0
5D.Solano, PH	1-2	0	0	0
5D.Solano, DH	1-2	0	0	0
5J.Azocar, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Azocar, DH	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	1-3	0	0	0
7H.Kim, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8T.Wade, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	1-3	1	1	1
9M.Machado, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Campusano, C	0-0	0	0	0