Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - June 7, 2024

Diamondbacks at Padres

1:40 am • ARID

Arizona Diamondbacks

0-0

4 - 3

San Diego Padres

4-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 0-0	+1.5	-1.5+154	o8.5-110	-108
Padres 4-3	u8.5	+1.5-185	u8.5-110	-112

Friday 1:40 a.m.

June 07, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

SD PK-107

1.07u

ARI +102

1.02u

SD -123

0.75u

R.Vasquez u15.5 Outs-104

Projection leans to the under in this spot and a +ev bet with devig odds of -143 over on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

ARI +110

0.55u

Bet to +108

Under 8.5-110

0.5u

Bet to -118 or 8 (+100)

Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a hard-hit rate of 44% over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 45% against the Padres RPs over the last two weeks -- third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Padres right-handed hitters have struck out just 13% against LHP over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks have a strikeout rate of just 18% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Picks
Sean Zerillo•
Jun 6, 2024 UTC

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The Padres are just 7-21 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.

Eugenio Suarez has an OPS of just .580 this season -- eighth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Jeremiah Estrada has allowed an OPS of just .347 (70 PAs) this season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .715 since the 2022 season -- 12th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Paul Sewald has allowed an OPS of just .566 (524 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 6th	@LAA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	LAA -185
Jun 5th	@LAA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	LAA -108
Jun 4th	@LAA	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	LAA -155
Jun 2nd	@KC	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 8	KC +105
Jun 1st	@KC	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	SD +104

Ryne Nelson
P
Nelson is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Cecconi, P	81	4.1	3	3
LJ.Mantiply, P	23	1.1	1	0
RK.Ginkel, P	17	1.1	0	0
RR.Thompson, P	16	1	0	0
RP.Sewald, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, CF	3-5	2	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	2-4	0	0	1
3J.Pederson, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3R.Grichuk, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3R.Grichuk, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-5	0	0	1
5L.Gurriel, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6P.Smith, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.McCarthy, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6J.McCarthy, RF	0-0	0	0	0
7E.Suarez, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
8G.Moreno, C	1-4	1	1	1
9K.Newman, SS	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Vasquez, P	92	6.2	3	3
RJ.Estrada, P	18	0.1	1	1
RE.De Los Santos, P	18	1	0	0
LA.Morejon, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	3-5	1	0	0
3J.Profar, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
5D.Peralta, DH	1-2	0	0	0
5D.Solano, PH	1-2	0	0	0
5D.Solano, DH	1-2	0	0	0
5J.Azocar, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Azocar, DH	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	1-3	0	0	0
7H.Kim, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8T.Wade, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	1-3	1	1	1
9M.Machado, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Campusano, C	0-0	0	0	0