Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - September 5, 2023

Dodgers at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Los Angeles Dodgers

4-2

3 - 6

Miami Marlins

5-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.63	10-9
C.Kershaw			2.46	13-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 4-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Marlins 5-1	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

September 05, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

LAD -1.5+120

C.Kershaw o4.5 Ks-145

Over 7.5-110

0.91u

Over 7.5-110

0.5u

Need -110

Over 7.5-110

0.5u

MIA +134

0.67u

Bet to +126

MIA +134

0.67u

Kershaw has less than 1/4 run on Luzardo and has been brought back very conservatively - LAD also have just a 12 pt wRC+ edge v LHP - They should be smaller favorites.

Featured Insight
Marlins hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 38% since last season -- seventh-worst in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the DodgersRPs since last season -- tied for fifth-best in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Marlins are batting just .237 with RISP since last season -- tied for third-worst in MLB. Opponents are hitting just .238 (244-for-1,025) against DodgersRPs with RISP since last season -- 10th-best in MLB.

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The Dodgers are 23-21 (.523) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .427.

Jake Burger has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Clayton Kershaw has a strikeout rate of 30% vs right-handed batters this season -- 14th highest among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 57% of the time (372/648) when he's behind in the count since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total SL; League Avg: 20% -- 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 57% of the time (181/317) when he's behind in the count this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total SL; League Avg: 21% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Marlins' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	2-4	2-4	N/A	2-4	N/A
Dodgers	2-4	2-4	N/A	2-4	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A
Dodgers	2-4	2-4	N/A	2-4	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	5-1	5-1	N/A	5-1	N/A
Dodgers	4-2	4-2	N/A	4-2	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 3rd	@WSH	W 6-4	-	-	-
Sep 2nd	@WSH	W 11-5	-	-	-
Sep 1st	@WSH	W 8-5	-	-	-
Aug 31st	@WSH	W 6-1	-	-	-
Aug 30th	TB	L 0-3	-	-	-

Blake Snell
SP
Snell is out with shoulder
Out
Enrique Hernandez
1B
Hernandez is out with elbow
Out
Tommy Edman
2B
Edman is out with ankle
Out
Bobby Miller
SP
Miller is out with shoulder
Out
Landon Knack
SP
Knack is out with undisclosed
Out
Gavin Stone
SP
Stone is out with shoulder
Out

Esteury Ruiz
LF
Ruiz is out with oblique
Out
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with hamstring
Out
Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Christopher Morel
LF
Christopher Morel (left oblique) scratched Friday.
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Kershaw, P	84	5	3	3
LR.Yarbrough, P	59	3	3	3
LR.Yarbrough, P	59	3	3	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, RF	0-3	0	0	0
2F.Freeman, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
3W.Smith, DH	1-4	0	0	1
3W.Smith, C	1-4	0	0	1
4A.Rosario, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
5E.Hernandez, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6C.Taylor, LF	1-4	1	1	1
7J.Outman, CF	1-3	1	0	0
8M.Rojas, SS	1-4	1	0	0
9A.Barnes, C	0-3	0	0	0
9D.Peralta, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	90	6	6	2
LA.Puk, P	16	1	1	1
LA.Nardi, P	16	1	1	0
LT.Scott, P	13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	0-2	1	0	0
3J.Bell, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
3Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Sanchez, RF	0-2	0	0	0
4J.Berti, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4J.Wendle, SS	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Burger, 3B	2-3	2	1	1
6B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	1	1	2
7J.Chisholm, CF	3-4	1	1	1
8G.Hampson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8G.Hampson, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0	0