Guardians vs. Angels Odds & Betting Predictions - May 26, 2024

Guardians at Angels

8:07 pm • BSW

Cleveland Guardians

7-11

5 - 4

Los Angeles Angels

8-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Detmers			6.70	4-9
B.Lively			3.82	13-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 7-11	-1.5+145	o8.5-106	-110
Angels 8-9	+1.5-175	u8.5-114	-110

Sunday 8:07 p.m.

May 26, 2024

Angel StadiumAnaheim

CLE -110

0.91u

D.Fry o1.5 Total Bases+150

LAA -130 (F5)

1.3u

LAA -107

Under 8.5-110

1.1u

CLE -115

0.87u

Over 8-114

0.88u

B.Lively u17.5 Outs-115

1.15u

Under in 5/7 - yes one was vs LAA, but LAA hit him relatively hard and had 7 baserunners in 6 innings. Lively also a big regression candidate - 2.84 ERA / 3.94 xERA with a low ground ball rate and getting hit hard (45% hard hit). Bullpen in good shape, and Lively is not someone they love facing a lineup a third time (.845 OPS). Angels slightly above average offensively bs righties the last two weeks (105 wRC+) and 8th in pitches per PA.

CLE -113

Featured Insight
Guardians have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB. The Angels have scored three or more runs in an inning just 91 times (5%) since last season -- tied for third lowest in MLB.

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The Angels are just 26-35 (.426) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Guardians are 13-75 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Angels are just 17-20 (.459) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .569.

David Fry has an OPS of 1.128 this season -- best among hitters with at least 73 total PA's-- 100th Percentile. Tyler Kinley has allowed an OPS of 1.013 (96 PAs) this season -- second worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Jose Ramirez is slugging .560 on non-fastballs this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Reid Detmers has allowed a SLG of .432 non-fastballs this season -- eighth worst among qualified SPs-- 11th Percentile.

Reid Detmers has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (95/196) when behind in the count this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% -- 98th Percentile.

Ben Lively had a first-pitch strike rate of just 36% (8/22) -- lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% -- first Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 44% (38/86) against Reid Detmers when he's behind in the count this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Angels are 39-42 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Angels' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Angels' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Angels	82-80	43-38	39-42	11-17	70-61
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Angels	74-80-8	37-40-4	37-40-4	10-17-1	62-62-7
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Angels	63-99	32-49	31-50	9-19	54-77
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 26th	CLE	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 8	CLE +124
May 25th	CLE	L 4-10	+1.5 L	O 8	CLE -106
May 22nd	@HOU	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 9	LAA +169
May 22nd	@HOU	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 9	HOU +167
May 21st	@HOU	W 9-7	+1.5 W	O 8	LAA +184

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Anthony Rendon
IF
Rendon is out with hip
Out
Zach Neto
IF
Neto is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	92	7	5	2
LS.Hentges, P	10	0.2	2	2
RS.Barlow, P	10	0.1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Freeman, CF	1-3	0	1
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	1	1
3J.Ramirez, DH	0-3	1	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-5	0	0
5D.Fry, LF	0-4	0	0
6J.Rodriguez, RF	2-4	1	2
6W.Brennan, PH	0-1	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	0-1	0	0
7G.Arias, 3B	1-4	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	0-2	1	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Detmers, P	96	5	8	3
RA.Cimber, P	18	0.1	0	2
LM.Moore, P	13	0.2	2	0
RR.Contreras, P	16	1	2	0
RC.Fulmer, P	18	2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Schanuel, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
2L.Rengifo, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
2L.Rengifo, 3B	1-4	1	0	1
3T.Ward, DH	1-2	0	0	0
4K.Pillar, LF	1-4	0	0	1
5J.Adell, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Moniak, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7Z.Neto, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8M.Thaiss, C	1-2	1	1	2
8L.O'Hoppe, PH	1-2	0	0	0
8L.O'Hoppe, C	1-2	0	0	0
9L.Guillorme, 3B	2-2	0	0	0
9K.Paris, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9K.Paris, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9W.Calhoun, PH	0-1	0	0	0