Guardians vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 2, 2024

Guardians at Astros

12:10 am • SCHN

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

3 - 2

Houston Astros

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Verlander			5.48	5-6
T.McKenzie			5.12	3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	+1.5	+1.5-131	o8.5-112	+154
Astros 0-2	u8.5	-1.5+110	u8.5-108	-185

Thursday 12:10 a.m.

May 02, 2024

Minute Maid ParkHouston

J.Altuve o1.5 Total Bases+125

0.75u

A.Bregman o1.5 Total Bases+115

0.5u

J.Verlander u5.5 Ks-150

0.33u

#tailing @SBK5065

T.McKenzie u4.5 Ks-128

1.28u

This instead of hits - ks wasn’t up yet

J.Verlander u5.5 Ks-148

CLE +145

1.45u

Good value for an underdog that is 19-10 vs home chalk that is 10-19 and likely won't have Hader available.

J.Verlander u5.5 Hits Allowed-105

Ballpark pal projects 5.12 and +ev bet with devig odds of -148 giving value to this number

T.McKenzie u4.5 Ks-145

Ballpark pal projects 3.8 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -210 giving value to this number

Featured Insight
The Guardians are batting .305 with RISP this season -- third best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .303 (37-for-122) against Astros RPs with RISP this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 36% against the Astros this season -- second best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% this season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Astros are just 8-12 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are just 19-74 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Guardians are 12-68 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Jean Segura has an OPS of just .556 since last season -- fifth worst among hitters with at least 285 total PA's-- first Percentile. Josh Hader has allowed an OPS of just .554 (286 PAs) since last season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	CLE	W 10-9	-1.5 L	O 9	HOU -170
Apr 28th	@COL	W 8-2	-1.5 W	U 16	HOU -256
Apr 27th	@COL	W 12-4	-1.5 W	U 16.5	HOU -218
Apr 25th	@CHC	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC -148
Apr 24th	@CHC	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC -112

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.McKenzie, P	90	7	6	2
RS.Barlow, P	12	0.2	0	0
LT.Herrin, P	7	0.2	0	0
RC.Smith, P	7	0.2	0	0
RE.Clase, P	5	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	3-5	0	0	2
2A.Gimenez, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
5D.Fry, C	2-4	0	0	0
6W.Brennan, DH	2-4	1	1	1
7E.Florial, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8T.Freeman, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8G.Arias, CF	0-0	1	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-2	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Verlander, P	97	7	2	2
RR.Montero, P	11	1	0	0
RR.Pressly, P	22	1	3	0
RS.Dubin, P	21	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
2A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4K.Tucker, RF	1-4	1	1	1
5J.Pena, SS	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Singleton, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
6Y.Diaz, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6T.Cabbage, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6T.Cabbage, LF	0-0	0	0	0
7V.Caratini, C	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Loperfido, LF	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Loperfido, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9M.Dubon, CF	2-4	1	0	0
9M.Dubon, 1B	2-4	1	0	0