Guardians vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2024

Guardians at Astros

12:10 am • SCHN

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

2 - 8

Houston Astros

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Arrighetti			4.53	7-13
L.Allen			5.73	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	+1.5	+1.5-173	o9-110	+120
Astros 0-2	u9	-1.5+145	u9-110	-141

Friday 12:10 a.m.

May 03, 2024

Minute Maid ParkHouston

CLE +116

J.Altuve o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-155

0.45u

Allen seen his hard-hit rate jump to 42% and has seen both his K% (19.3) take a step back and barrel rate (10.3%) for the worse. Against RHH, 33% of hits went for extra bases this season and 44% last season. Perfect spot for Altuve who is hitting the ball harder w/ XBH in 2 of L3. Always a threat for a multi-hit and should have a strong chance at scoring given what’s behind him & Allen’s strugggles to generate whiffs

CLE +114

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Guardians have scored 5.2 runs per game this season -- fifth highest in MLB (29 games). The Astros have allowed 5.3 runs per game this season -- fifth highest in MLB (29 games).

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Featured Insight
Astros have a strikeout rate of 30% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- second highest in MLB. Guardians right-handed hitters have struck out 27% against LHP over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB.

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The Guardians are 12-68 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Bo Naylor has struck out in 38% of PA's this season -- 10th highest among hitters with at least 43 total PA's-- second Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 38% this season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	CLE	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -185
May 1st	CLE	W 10-9	-1.5 L	O 9	HOU -170
Apr 28th	@COL	W 8-2	-1.5 W	U 16	HOU -256
Apr 27th	@COL	W 12-4	-1.5 W	U 16.5	HOU -218
Apr 25th	@CHC	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC -148

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	98	5.2	5	2
RN.Sandlin, P	2	0.1	0	0
RT.Beede, P	35	0.1	1	5
RP.Avila, P	18	1.2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	1	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	0	1
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-2	0	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	0	0
5W.Brennan, RF	3-4	0	0
6E.Florial, DH	0-4	0	0
7B.Naylor, C	0-4	0	0
8G.Arias, CF	1-4	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Arrighetti, P	94	5.2	6	2
RT.Scott, P	21	1.1	1	0
RS.Martinez, P	28	2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	3-5	1	0	1
2A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	0-5	0	0	0
4K.Tucker, RF	0-3	1	0	0
5J.Pena, SS	2-3	2	0	1
6Y.Diaz, C	1-4	0	0	2
7J.Singleton, 1B	2-3	2	1	3
8M.Dubon, LF	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	1-3	1	0	0