Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - August 25, 2023

Guardians at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • SNET

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

5 - 2

Toronto Blue Jays

10-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Bassitt			3.60	16-8
T.Bibee			2.98	10-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-2	+1.5-156	o8-115	+138
Blue Jays 10-8	-1.5+130	u8-110	-166

Friday 11:07 p.m.

August 25, 2023

Rogers CentreToronto

Under 8.5-110

Under 8.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -111

Over 4.5 (F5)-110

CLE +140

0.7u

Need +140

Featured Insight
The Blue Jays are batting just .249 with RISP over the last two weeks -- 10th-worst in MLB. Opponents are hitting just .226 (125-for-552) against GuardiansRPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- seventh-best in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have scored just 3.6 runs per game at home over the last week -- second-lowest in MLB (73 games). The Blue Jays have allowed just 4.1 runs per game on the road over the last week -- fourth-lowest in MLB (72 games).

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MLB NRFI Model Picks For Friday
Billy Ward•
Aug 25, 2023 UTC

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The Guardians are just 7-19 (.269) after a win as underdogs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .438.

Jean Segura is slugging just .279 this season -- seventh worst among hitters with at least 189 total PA's-- second Percentile. Chris Bassitt has allowed a SLG of just .294 vs right-handed batters this season -- third best among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Steven Kwan is slugging just .402 on fastballs since last season -- 11th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Chris Bassitt has allowed a SLG of just .361 on fastballs since last season -- 15th best among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .318 (7-for-22) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes -- 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .171 -- third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (10/36) against Tanner Bibee -- 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	91-71	49-32	42-39	42-45	48-25
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	86-71-5	45-34-2	41-37-3	46-40-1	39-30-4
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	94-68	54-27	40-41	52-35	41-32
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 24th	@BAL	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 9	BAL -110
Aug 23rd	@BAL	L 0-7	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL -139
Aug 22nd	@BAL	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8	TOR -105
Aug 20th	@CIN	W 10-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	TOR -115
Aug 19th	@CIN	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	TOR -140

Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	97	6	5	2
RE.De Los Santos, P	15	1	2	0
RT.Stephan, P	13	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Ramirez, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
3K. Calhoun, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4O.Gonzalez, DH	2-4	2	0	0
5A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
6R.Laureano, RF	2-4	1	1	3
7G.Arias, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	1-3	1	1	1
9M.Straw, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Bassitt, P	100	5.2	5	4
LG.Cabrera, P	8	0.1	0	0
RE.Swanson, P	9	1	0	0
RJ.Hicks, P	13	1	1	1
RB.Francis, P	14	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Merrifield, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Bichette, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3B. Belt, DH	0-2	0	0	0
4V.Guerrero, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
5G.Springer, RF	1-4	1	1	1
6D.Varsho, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Chapman, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8A.Kirk, C	2-4	0	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	0-3	0	0	0