Marlins vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 23, 2024

Marlins at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Miami Marlins

0-0

0 - 5

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Fried			3.25	11-10
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 0-0	+1.5+107	o8.5-102	+215
Braves 0-2	-1.5-127	u8.5-118	-262

Tuesday 11:20 p.m.

April 23, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Under 9-120

0.5u

Under 9-105

0.5u

Bet to 8.5 (+100)

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Featured Insight
Braves RPs have allowed an OPS of just .658 (5,056 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fifth best in MLB. Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .685 since the 2022 season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Luis Arraez has struck out in just 7% of PA's over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Max Fried has a strikeout rate of just 12% over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest among qualified SPs-- fifth Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 79.3 MPH (20 batted balls) this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 88.9 -- 100th Percentile.

27 of Max Fried's 112 breaking pitch strikeouts (24%) have been backdoor since the 2022 season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 13% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 22nd	MIA	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -218
Apr 21st	TEX	L 4-6	-1.5 L	U 10	TEX -162
Apr 20th	TEX	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -142
Apr 19th	TEX	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	ATL -207
Apr 17th	@HOU	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	ATL -134

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	84	5.2	4	3
RA.Bender, P	20	1.1	1	0
RD.Cronin, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Bell, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Chisholm, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6T.Anderson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
7E.Rivera, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
8O.Lopez, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P		92	9	6	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2O.Arcia, SS	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-3	2	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, C	2-3	0	0	1
7A.Duvall, LF	2-4	2	1	2
8M.Harris, CF	2-4	0	0	1
9D. Fletcher, 2B	1-2	0	0	1
9J.Kelenic, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Guillorme, 2B	0-0	0	0	0