Marlins vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - May 13, 2025

Marlins at Cubs

11:40 pm • FDSFL

Miami Marlins

15-26

4 - 5

Chicago Cubs

25-18

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Brown			4.75	3-3
V.Bellozo			3.27	0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 15-26	+1.5	+1.5+103	o8-110	+215
Cubs 25-18	u8	-1.5-122	u8-109	-262

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

May 13, 2025

Wrigley FieldChicago

Over 8-112

CHC o4.5 Team Total-125

This line seems like an overreaction to the weather. I love fading offenses on the windy Wrigley Field days, but this isn't one of them. Meteorologist Kevin Roth's WeatherEdge tool shows a 28.2% decrease in home runs and a 12% decline in scoring based on 102 games matching these conditions. The Cubs are 2nd in the league in scoring. They're 8th in wRC+ against RHP this season. They've slipped to 12th over the past 30 days, but this is a dangerous lineup. Tonight's projected lineup has a .193 ISO and .339 wOBA vs. RHP this season. Those would be top-6 marks over the past month. Valente Bellozo is an extreme fly-ball pitcher. His 3.2% HR/FB is unsustainable. Bellozo's SIERA is all the way up at 5.75. He has an ugly 14:10 K:BB and a tiny 7.4% SwStr%. Miami’s bullpen ranks 29th in xFIP and dead last in SIERA. They have allowed the 3rd-most runs in the league.

MIA +1.5+104

1.04u

Non divisional dogs off a loss Overall: 373-272-0,58% (ROI:13%) Season:4-5-0,44% (ROI:-10%)

Under 8-104

1.04u

*Windy* Overall: 1114-764-85,59% (ROI:14%) Season:15-12-1,56% (ROI:6%)

CHC -225 (F5)

0.56u

Small to -260

Under 8.5-120

0.6u

Bet to 8 (-110)

Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Predictions, Picks, Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
May 13, 2025 UTC
Marlins vs. Cubs: Bet This Wrigley Under
Alex Kolodziej•
May 13, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 12-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Cubs' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	22-21	10-11	12-10	13-11	9-10
Marlins	20-21	11-11	9-10	2-4	17-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	25-16-2	14-7	11-9-2	13-10-1	12-6-1
Marlins	26-15	13-9	13-6	3-3	23-11

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	25-18	12-9	13-9	16-8	9-10
Marlins	15-26	10-12	5-14	4-2	11-23

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 12th	MIA	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8	CHC -257
May 11th	@NYM	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM +110
May 10th	@NYM	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CHC +141
May 9th	@NYM	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 8	NYM +122
May 7th	SF	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SF -164

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
SP
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Drew Pomeranz
RP
Pomeranz is out with elbow
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RV.Bellozo, P	74	4	2	1
RC.Faucher, P	6	1	0	0
RR.Henriquez, P	28	2	2	0
RA.Bender, P	16	1	1	0
RJ.Tinoco, P	17	0.1	0	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Edwards, SS	2-5	0	0	0
2J.Sanchez, RF	2-4	0	0	1
3E.Wagaman, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Ramirez, C	1-4	0	0	0
5K.Stowers, LF	1-4	1	1	1
6M.Mervis, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6N.Fortes, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6N.Fortes, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7C.Norby, 3B	2-4	2	1	1
8D.Hill, CF	1-4	1	0	0
9J.Sanoja, 2B	0-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Brown, P	72	5.1	6	2
LC.Thielbar, P	8	0.2	1	0
RJ.Merryweather, P	30	0.2	0	2
RR.Pressly, P	6	0.1	1	0
RC.Flexen, P	30	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	2-3	1	1	2
2K.Tucker, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3S.Suzuki, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Busch, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5C.Kelly, C	2-4	1	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	0-2	0	0	0
7M.Ballesteros, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7V.Brujan, PR	0-0	1	0	0
8N.Hoerner, 2B	1-3	2	0	1
9N.Lopez, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Turner, PH	1-1	0	0	2
9J.Turner, 3B	1-1	0	0	2