Marlins vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - May 29, 2024

Marlins at Padres

1:40 am • BSFL

Miami Marlins

65-75

0 - 4

San Diego Padres

76-64

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Waldron			4.91	7-11
J.Luzardo			5.00	3-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 65-75	-1.5	+1.5-192	o7-113	+114
Padres 76-64	u7.5	-1.5+160	u7-106	-135

Wednesday 1:40 a.m.

May 29, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

SD -130

Have the Padres at 58.9% to win, up from 56.5% implied. Buying into Matt Waldron's new approach, leaning on his four-seamer more than his sinker as the complement to the knuckleball.

Featured Insight
The Marlins have allowed just 1.7 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (6 games). The Padres have scored just 2.2 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (6 games).

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Featured Insight
The Padres have allowed just 4.1 runs per game since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (218 games). The Marlins have scored just 4.0 runs per game since last season -- third lowest in MLB (215 games).

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The Padres are just 7-20 (.259) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

Bryan De La Cruz has an OPS of just .720 since the 2022 season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Robert Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .527 (387 PAs) since the 2022 season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Nick Fortes has an OPS of just .438 this season -- fifth worst among hitters with at least 76 total PA's-- first Percentile. Robert Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .434 (88 PAs) this season -- eighth best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 38-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 29 of Padres' 68 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	75-65	37-31	38-34	34-41	40-24
Marlins	80-60	36-32	44-28	7-15	72-44

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	60-76-4	29-38-1	31-38-3	39-34-2	21-41-2
Marlins	68-70-2	32-36	36-34-2	11-11	56-58-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	76-64	43-25	33-39	44-31	31-33
Marlins	65-75	31-37	34-38	10-12	55-61

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 27th	MIA	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SD -205
May 26th	NYY	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 8	SD +112
May 26th	NYY	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYY -124
May 25th	NYY	L 0-8	+1.5 L	O 7	NYY +101
May 23rd	@CIN	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 9.5	SD -113

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with oblique
Out
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Michael King
SP
Michael King (shoulder) has been scratched Saturday. Sean Reynolds will start for the Padres.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	94	6	4	3
LA.Nardi, P	8	1	1	0
RE.Ramirez, P	19	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Bell, 1B	3-4	0	0	0
4J.Sanchez, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Burger, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
6N.Gordon, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7T.Anderson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Lopez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RM.Waldron, P	85	7	8
LW.Peralta, P	13	1	0
RJ.Estrada, P	12	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	2-4	1	0	0
3J.Profar, LF	2-4	1	1	3
3J.Merrill, CF	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Machado, DH	1-3	1	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6D.Solano, 3B	3-4	0	0	1
7H.Kim, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Azocar, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Azocar, LF	0-3	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-2	0	0	0