Padres vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - May 23, 2024

Padres at Reds

5:10 pm • BSOH

San Diego Padres

4-3

6 - 4

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Montas			5.01	4-8
M.Waldron			4.91	7-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	-1.5+140	o9.5+100	-113
Reds 0-0	+1.5-166	u9.5-120	-105

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

May 23, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Over 9.5+100

$50.00

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-114

$50.00

LAL 1st Inning Sweat

F.Tatis o1.5 Total Bases-120

Over 9.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -110

Featured Insight
The Padres have scored 4.9 runs per game on the road since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB (187 games). The Reds have allowed 5.1 runs per game at home since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB (185 games).

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Featured Insight
Reds have allowed a run just 21% of the time after an opposing score __PresentPerfect_This Month__ -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB. The Padres have answered-back in just 14% of innings after an opponent scores __PresentPerfect_This Month__ -- second lowest in MLB.

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Our MLB Best Bets for Thursday Night
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The Reds are just 9-15 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 31% of PA's this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Jeremiah Estrada has a strikeout rate of 35% this season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .721 since the 2022 season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .561 (624 PAs) since the 2022 season -- ninth best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 59% of Frankie Montas' fastballs (190/324) this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 48% -- 99th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .433 (13-for-30) against Matt Waldron this month (3 games) -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .239 -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (99/395) against Frankie Montas since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 16% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 22nd	SD	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 9.5	SD +105
May 21st	SD	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 9	CIN +100
May 19th	@LAD	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	LAD +142
May 19th	@LAD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	LAD +160
May 18th	@LAD	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD +160

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Waldron, P	90	5	7	2
RE.De Los Santos, P	23	0.2	2	2
LY.Matsui, P	27	1.1	1	0
RJ.Estrada, P	30	2	5	0
RR.Suarez, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	4-5	1	1
2F.Tatis, DH	1-5	1	1
3J.Profar, LF	1-4	1	0
4J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-4	0	1
5M.Machado, 3B	1-5	0	2
6D.Peralta, RF	3-4	1	0
6J.Azocar, RF	0-0	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	1-4	1	0
8H.Kim, SS	1-3	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-3	0	1
9L.Campusano, PH	0-1	1	0
9L.Campusano, C	0-1	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Montas, P	94	6	3	4
RF.Cruz, P	22	1	3	0
RL.Sims, P	10	1	0	0
RA.Diaz, P	10	1	2	0
LS.Moll, P	9	0.1	0	1
RB.Farmer, P	3	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Hurtubise, LF	1-2	1	0	1
1S.Fairchild, PH	0-2	0	0	0
1S.Fairchild, CF	0-2	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-5	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
3J.Fraley, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Ford, DH	1-5	0	0	0
5S.Steer, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
6N.Martini, RF	2-4	2	1	2
7J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Maile, C	1-4	0	0	0
9W.Benson, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	0-3	0	0	0