Marlins vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 15, 2024

Marlins at Tigers

5:10 pm • BSDET

Miami Marlins

0-0

2 - 0

Detroit Tigers

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Mize			4.49	2-6
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-148	o8.5-115	+140
Tigers 4-3	-1.5+124	u8.5-105	-165

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

May 15, 2024

Comerica ParkDetroit

DET -163

DET -145 (F5)

0.36u

Small to -155

MIA +145

1.45u

Featured Insight
Marlins left-handed hitters have struck out just 16% against RHP over the last week -- third lowest in MLB. Tigers have a strikeout rate of just 18% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Tigers hitters have a hard-hit rate of 42% this season -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Marlins this season -- tied for fifth worst in MLB.

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The Marlins are just 41-54 (.432) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

Bryan De La Cruz has an OPS of just .721 since the 2022 season -- 13th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Tyler Holton has allowed an OPS of just .552 (439 PAs) since the 2022 season -- eighth best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Casey Mize has a strikeout rate of just 11% (7 SO in 62 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- second Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has allowed an OPS of 1.031 (116 PA's) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .680 -- 0 Percentile.

Casey Mize has struck out just 4% (1/22) of left-handed batters he faced -- 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% -- third Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 27% of the time (200/735) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total CH; League Avg: 10% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Tigers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 14th	MIA	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8	MIA -185
May 13th	MIA	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9	DET -167
May 12th	HOU	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	HOU -115
May 11th	HOU	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	DET -161
May 10th	HOU	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8	HOU +124

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LT.Rogers, P	83	5	6
RD.Cronin, P	22	1.2	1
LA.Nardi, P	3	0.1	0
RC.Faucher, P	20	1	0
LT.Scott, P	20	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-3	1	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, RF	1-4	1	1	2
3J.Bell, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3E.Rivera, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Sanchez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Burger, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5T.Gray, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5T.Gray, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6N.Gordon, LF	0-2	0	0	0
6D.Myers, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6D.Myers, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7O.Lopez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8V.Brujan, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Mize, P	90	6	6	2
LT.Holton, P	8	1	0	0
RW.Vest, P	17	1	1	0
RB.Brieske, P	23	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Vierling, LF	1-3	0	0	0
1R.Greene, PH	0-2	0	0	0
1R.Greene, LF	0-2	0	0	0
2A.Ibanez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2A.Ibanez, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
3W.Perez, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Canha, DH	1-3	0	0	0
5G.Urshela, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
5C.Keith, PH	0-2	0	0	0
5C.Keith, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
6K.Carpenter, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Rogers, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7S.Torkelson, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Baez, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Kelly, C	3-3	0	0	0
9Z.McKinstry, PR	0-0	0	0	0