Marlins vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2024

Marlins at Twins

11:40 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

15-25

4 - 1

Minnesota Twins

21-20

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ober			3.98	12-9
R.Weathers			3.64	5-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 15-25	+1.5	+1.5-102	o8-109	+205
Twins 21-20	u7.5	-1.5-118	u8-112	-254

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

September 24, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

MIN -1.5-105

#ProSystem … off a bad loss now fav Overall: 93-41-0,69% (ROI:26%) Season:5-3-0,63% (ROI:13%)

MIN -1.5-111

2.22u

MIN -1.5-120

1.2u

B.Buxton o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.83u

B.Buxton o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

MIA +210

2.1u

Featured Insight
Marlins hitters have a groundball rate of 50% this season -- highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Twins have answered-back in 35% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- third highest in MLB. Marlins have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score this season -- second highest in MLB.

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The Marlins are 25-18 (.581) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Vidal Brujan is batting .444 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 14th best among hitters with at least 234 total PA's-- 94th Percentile. Bailey Ober has a strike rate of 67% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for ninth highest among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

47% of fastball strikeouts for Jake Burger are located out of the zone since last season -- ninth highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 49% of Bailey Ober fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% (111/220) against Ryan Weathers this season -- 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- 92nd Percentile.

Ryan Weathers has not allowed a walk in his last 66 PAs against a RHH dating back to May 20th -- Jacob deGrom has the longest active streak at 97.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 8-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Twins' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	23-18	15-6	8-12	15-12	8-6
Marlins	20-21	11-11	9-10	2-4	17-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	14-24-3	7-13-1	7-11-2	10-15-2	4-9-1
Marlins	26-15	13-9	13-6	3-3	23-11

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	21-20	15-6	6-14	15-12	6-8
Marlins	15-26	10-12	5-14	4-2	11-23

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 22nd	@BOS	L 3-9	-1.5 L	O 8	BOS -121
Sep 22nd	@BOS	L 1-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS -143
Sep 20th	@BOS	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -120
Sep 19th	@CLE	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE -115
Sep 18th	@CLE	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 7	CLE +114

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Ryan Weathers
SP
Weathers is out with arm
Out
Eury Perez
SP
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Weathers, P	82	5	2	1
RL.Bachar, P	23	1.1	2	0
RA.Bender, P	21	1	1	0
RJ.Tinoco, P	19	1.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Edwards, SS	2-4	0	0	2
2C.Norby, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Burger, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
4J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
4D.Myers, PH	0-0	0	0	0
4D.Myers, RF	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Bride, DH	3-5	1	1	1
6K.Stowers, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Hill, CF	1-2	1	0	0
8O.Lopez, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	2-4	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	89	5	7	4
RS.Blewett, P	20	1.1	0	0
LC.Thielbar, P	3	0.2	1	0
RM.Tonkin, P	25	1	1	0
LC.Irvin, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Margot, RF	0-3	0	0
1B.Lee, PH	0-2	0	0
1B.Lee, 2B	0-2	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	2-5	0	0
3B.Buxton, CF	2-3	1	0
4C.Santana, 1B	0-2	0	0
5R.Lewis, 3B	1-4	0	1
6K.Farmer, 2B	0-2	0	0
6M.Wallner, PH	0-1	0	0
6T.Larnach, LF	1-1	0	0
6T.Larnach, RF	1-1	0	0
7R.Jeffers, C	0-3	0	0
8J.Miranda, DH	0-3	0	0
8E.Julien, PH	0-1	0	0
8E.Julien, DH	0-1	0	0
9W.Castro, LF	2-4	0	0
9W.Castro, 2B	2-4	0	0
9W.Castro, LF	2-4	0	0