Mets vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 5, 2023

Mets at Brewers

5:40 pm • BSWI

New York Mets

30-20

6 - 7

Milwaukee Brewers

25-26

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Burnes			3.39	10-8
D.Peterson			5.03	3-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 30-20	+1.5-182	o8-115	+115
Brewers 25-26	-1.5+151	u8-105	-140

Wednesday 5:40 p.m.

April 05, 2023

American Family FieldMilwaukee

Under 13.5-105

0.95u

MIL -138

NYM +0.5 (F5)-114

0.88u

NYM +117

NYM +112

Under 8-110

1.1u

NYM o3.5-120

Over 8-110

NYM +115

Under 7.5+100

$40.00

MIL -140 (F5)

0.7u

Bet to -146

MIL -130

0.5u

Bet to -136

Under 7.5-110

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The Mets are 17-18 (.486) when underdogs since the 2022 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The Brewers are 42-39 (.519) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2021 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

The Brewers are just 9-35 (.205) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season -- 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Mets are 38-28 (.576) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.

35% of Mark Canha strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- third highest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. 40% of Corbin Burnes's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

David Peterson has a strike rate of just 59% (912/1,549) against right-handed batters since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- 0 Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (172/242) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% -- 100th Percentile.

David Peterson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (250/477) since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 14-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Brewers' 25 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	27-24	13-12	14-12	16-10	10-14
Mets	23-27	12-10	11-17	15-21	8-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	19-29-3	9-15-1	10-14-2	10-15-1	9-13-2
Mets	17-32-1	7-14-1	10-18	16-19-1	1-13

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	25-26	15-10	10-16	18-8	6-18
Mets	30-20	17-5	13-15	23-13	7-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 4th	NYM	W 9-0	+1.5 W	O 8	MIL +128
Apr 3rd	NYM	W 10-0	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL -112
Apr 2nd	@CHC	W 9-5	+1.5 W	O 9	MIL +110
Apr 1st	@CHC	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 6.5	MIL -120
Mar 30th	@CHC	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 6.5	CHC -140

Jose Quintana
SP
Quintana is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Woodruff
SP
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Blake Perkins
CF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Aaron Ashby
SP
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
SP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Frankie Montas
SP
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
SP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
SP
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
SS
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	92	4	5	5
RD.Smith, P	29	1	2	1
RJ.Curtiss, P	26	2	3	0
RD.Robertson, P	12	1	0	0
RA.Ottavino, P	7	0	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	1-3	2	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	3-4	2	0	2
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	2	2	4
5D.Vogelbach, DH	0-1	0	0	0
5T. Locastro, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5T. Locastro, DH	0-0	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Canha, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8O.Narvaez, C	1-4	0	0	0
8T.Nido, C	0-0	0	0	0
9L.Guillorme, 3B	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	93	4.1	3	6
LH.Milner, P	14	1.2	1	0
RP.Strzelecki, P	12	1	0	0
RM. Bush, P	15	1	1	0
RD.Williams, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M. Brosseau, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
1G.Mitchell, PH	1-2	1	1	1
1G.Mitchell, CF	1-2	1	1	1
2W.Adames, SS	0-2	0	0	0
3C.Yelich, LF	0-3	1	0	0
4W.Contreras, C	1-3	0	0	0
5L. Voit, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
6B.Anderson, RF	1-3	1	0	0
6B.Anderson, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Winker, DH	2-4	1	0	2
8O.Miller, 2B	1-2	1	0	1
8B.Turang, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Turang, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Wiemer, CF	1-4	1	1	3
9J.Wiemer, RF	1-4	1	1	3