Mets vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - April 21, 2023

Mets at Giants

1:45 am • NBCS-BA+

New York Mets

8-12

9 - 4

San Francisco Giants

15-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Manaea			4.44	7-6
K.Senga			2.98	12-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 8-12	-1.5+130	o8.5-105	-125
Giants 15-5	+1.5-155	u8.5-115	+105

Friday 1:45 a.m.

April 21, 2023

Oracle ParkSan Francisco

NYM -115

SF +106

0.5u

K.Senga o5.5 Ks-143

1.43u

Senga’s ghost forkball continues to stifle hitters - opps are 1/20 with 16 K’s against it. 6+ Ks in each of his 3 games so far. Giants find themselves in plenty of 2 strike counts (2nd in CSW% rate) - so we should see plenty of forkballs.

Over 4.5 (F5)-102

0.74u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mets-vs-giants-mlb-odds-picks-predictions-april-20-2023

S.Manaea u17.5 Outs-125

MGM. Manaea hasn’t been good since 2021. Only 2 starts this season, and yet to throw more than 82 pitches. His hard hit rate, barrel rate have been well below average (this year and last year). He’s throwing harder this season, but with less movement on his slider and sinker. If he qualified, he’d rank in the bottom 20th percentile of pitches per PA this season. Mets haven’t been great vs LHP so far this season, but they profile to be very good over the course of the season (3rd in wRC+ last season vs LHP, with virtually the same lineup returning). Giants did work their bullpen hard yesterday, but they do have a rested long relief option (Beck).

Under 8.5-112

@AnthonyDabbundo

SF +1.5-155

Under 4.5 (F5)-122

1.22u

NYM -121

0.83u

SF o3.5-126

SF +104

SF o3.5-124

0.81u

NYM -115 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -120

Over 8.5+105

0.53u

Bet to +100

NYM -121

SF +123

0.5u

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The Mets are just 9-13 (.409) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Giants are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Giants are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Giants' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Giants' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 19th	@MIA	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	SF -110
Apr 18th	@MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA -106
Apr 17th	@MIA	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA +100
Apr 15th	@DET	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 9	DET -147
Apr 14th	@DET	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	DET -154

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Tom Murphy
C
Murphy is out with back
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Senga, P	85	5	4	4
LB.Raley, P	8	1	0	0
RJ.Curtiss, P	13	1	0	0
RD.Smith, P	14	1	0	0
RJ. Brigham, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	3-5	0	0	1
2M.Canha, LF	1-5	1	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	1-4	2	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	2	1	4
5T.Pham, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Vogelbach, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Vogelbach, DH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, RF	3-3	2	1	2
7E. Escobar, 3B	2-5	1	1	2
8L.Guillorme, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P		88	3.2	3	5
RT.Beck, P		81	5.1	5	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Wade, LF	1-4	1	1	1
2T.Estrada, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
3M.Conforto, DH	0-3	1	0	0
4J.Davis, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5M.Yastrzemski, RF	3-4	0	0	1
6W.Flores, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Crawford, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Sabol, C	1-4	1	1	1
9B.Wisely, CF	0-4	0	0	0