Mets vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - August 4, 2023

Mets at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN

New York Mets

3-3

3 - 10

Baltimore Orioles

3-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A
Orioles 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 11:05 p.m.

August 04, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

D.Peterson u4.5 Ks-160

$1.88

D.Peterson u5.5 Hits-145

$5.52

BAL -1.5+130

2.6u

BAL -148

$0.68

Over 9-118

0.5u

Need -118 or 9.5 (+100)

NYM +120 (F5)

https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mets-vs-orioles-mlb-odds-picks-predictions-august-4-2023

NYM +141

0.5u

BAL -160

$1.00

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

0.63u

BAL -1.5+120

$120.00

NYM +155

0.5u

Bet to +137

NYM +134 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +120

NYM +130

Peterson 3.83 SIERA/4.80 xERA, Kremer 4.32/5.48 - BAL 102/111 wRC+ Hm/v LHP, NYM 99/107 - BAL doesn't have any defensive edge, but pen estimators are nearly 2/3 run better L30 days. That's the only major gap in their favor though.

Featured Insight
Orioles Right Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since last season -- fourth-highest in MLB. MetsRPs have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters since last season -- eighth-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets have struck out just 20% since last season -- fourth-lowest in MLB. Orioles have a strikeout rate of just 22% since last season -- 10th-lowest in MLB.

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The Orioles are 50-39 (.562) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

46% of fastball strikeouts for Anthony Santander are located out of the zone since last season -- tied for sixth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 48% of David Peterson fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- tied for 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Anthony Santander is slugging .532 on sliders since last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Phil Bickford has allowed a SLG of .510 on sliders since last season -- worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 30% (106/352) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% (135/359) against Dean Kremer this season -- 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 14th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	2-4	2-4	N/A	2-3	0-1
Mets	3-3	2-1	1-2	3-3	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	3-3	3-3	N/A	2-3	1-0
Mets	1-5	1-2	0-3	1-5	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-2	0-1
Mets	3-3	2-1	1-2	3-3	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 3rd	@TOR	W 6-1	-	-	-
Aug 2nd	@TOR	L 1-4	-	-	-
Aug 1st	@TOR	W 13-3	-	-	-
Jul 31st	@TOR	W 4-2	-	-	-
Jul 30th	NYY	W 9-3	-	-	-

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Jackson Holliday
2B
Holliday is out with hand
Out

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	52	3	1	0
RJ.Curtiss, P	26	1	2	2
LJ.Walker, P	15	1	2	0
RP.Bickford, P	21	0.1	1	4
RR.Garrett, P	27	0.2	0	4
RT.Gott, P	15	1	2	0
RD.Smith, P	25	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-1	1	0
1D.Mendick, PH	0-1	0	1
1D.Mendick, LF	0-1	0	1
2F.Alvarez, C	0-3	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	2-3	0	2
3D.Stewart, PH	0-1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0
5J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	0	0
6S.Marte, RF	0-4	0	0
7B.Baty, 3B	0-3	0	0
8M.Vientos, DH	0-3	0	0
9R.Ortega, LF	1-2	2	0
9R.Ortega, CF	1-2	2	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	87	5.1	4	2
RM.Baumann, P	10	1.2	0	0
LC.Irvin, P	15	1	2	0
RS.Fujinami, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Rutschman, DH	0-3	0	0	1
2R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
3G.Henderson, SS	2-5	1	0	0
4A.Hays, LF	1-4	2	0	0
5J.Westburg, 2B	2-3	2	1	3
6R.O'Hearn, RF	1-3	1	0	1
6C.Cowser, PR	0-1	2	0	0
6C.Cowser, RF	0-1	2	0	0
7R.Urias, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
8J.McCann, C	3-3	1	0	5
9R.McKenna, CF	0-3	0	0	0