Mets vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 10, 2023

Mets at Pirates

8:05 pm • SportsNet PT

New York Mets

8-10

5 - 1

Pittsburgh Pirates

10-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Oviedo			4.31	9-14
K.Senga			2.98	12-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 8-10	-1.5+130	o9.5-109	-123
Pirates 10-9	+1.5-157	u9.5-112	+103

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

June 10, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PIT +105

PIT +1.5-150

$125.00

Under 9.5-110

$50.00

K.Senga o5.5 Ks-125

Senga - put up a dud in his first start on 4 days rest, but now back to 5 days. Before that game, Senga was 8/10 on 6+ Ks. PIT has been up and down w Ks this season, but right now they are down (25.5% K% vs righties last 2 weeks - 9th highest). Pirates are lefty heavy (5-6 should start today) and that’s Senga’s better split (31% K% - uses his forkball more often).

Under 9-103

0.97u

J.Oviedo u17.5 Outs-115

1.15u

He’s under in 7/12, and even with the Mets without Alonso, this is a tough matchup. He’ll likely see 6 lefties and that’s Oviedo’s weaker split. Slider has turned into his primary pitch this season, and the Mets are a good slider hitting team overall (6th in wRC). And despite Oviedo’s low pitches per PA (3.62), his low strike rate should hurt him. Mets have 3rd lowest swing %, and 6th lowest chase rate. He also threw 100 pitches for the first time last start. And PIT just got 7 IP out of Rich Hill following an off day. As someone who will undoubtedly have his innings monitored this season, this could be a sneaky spot for a quicker hook.

PIT +116

0.5u

Bet to +106

The Pirates are just 12-37 (.245) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

Brandon Nimmo is batting .352 on breaking pitches this season -- third best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Johan Oviedo has thrown a breaking pitch 58% of the time this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

36% of Jack Suwinski strikeouts are looking this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 45% of Tommy Hunter strikeouts are looking this season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Johan Oviedo has walked 20 of 104 batters (19%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% -- third Percentile.

Johan Oviedo has walked 21 of 107 batters (20%) versus the top of the order this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 9th	NYM	W 14-7	-1.5 W	O 9.5	PIT -120
Jun 7th	ATH	L 5-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	ATH -182
Jun 6th	ATH	L 2-11	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ATH -290
Jun 5th	ATH	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9	PIT -178
Jun 4th	STL	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT +121

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RK.Senga, P	96	7	6
RD.Robertson, P	21	1	2
RA.Ottavino, P	13	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	2-4	0	0	1
2F.Alvarez, C	1-4	1	1	1
3J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
4F.Lindor, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	1-4	1	0	0
6B.Baty, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7T.Pham, LF	2-4	2	0	0
8L.Guillorme, SS	0-3	1	0	0
9M.Canha, 1B	2-4	0	0	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Oviedo, P	90	6.1	5	2
RD.Moreta, P	11	0.1	1	1
LJ.Hernandez, P	4	0.1	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	15	1	0	1
LA.Perdomo, P	20	1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-3	0	0
3C.Joe, RF	1-4	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	1-4	0	0
5J.Suwinski, CF	0-3	1	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0
7J.Bae, 2B	0-4	0	1
8T.Marcano, SS	0-4	0	0
9J.Delay, C	0-2	0	0