Mets vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - April 6, 2024

Mets at Reds

8:10 pm • SNY

New York Mets

8-11

6 - 9

Cincinnati Reds

9-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Martinez			3.10	10-7
L.Severino			3.91	11-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 8-11	+1.5-185	o9.5-102	+105
Reds 9-12	-1.5+154	u9.5-118	-125

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 06, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

CIN -120

$3.33

Under 9.5-115

1.15u

Over 9.5-105

0.52u

F.Lindor o0.5 HR+350

0.25u

F.Lindor o1.5 Total Bases-105

0.55u

J.Fraley o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-110

1.1u

CIN -120 (F5)

… MLB f5 day game revenge Overall: 246-109-71,69% (ROI:9%) Season:1-1-0,50% (ROI:-26%)

Featured Insight
Mets have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 43% of their games since the 2022 season -- eighth lowest in MLB. The Reds have scored in at least three different innings in just 43% of their games since the 2022 season -- tied for eighth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the RedsRPs since the 2022 season -- ninth best in MLB. Mets hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 39% since the 2022 season -- ninth worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Cunningham's MLB Bets for Saturday
Brad Cunningham•
Apr 6, 2024 UTC

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The Reds are just 38-18 (.679) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Spencer Steer had an OPS of .701 with two strikes last season -- ninth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Luis Severino allowed an OPS of .702 (230 PAs) with two strikes last season -- third worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- second Percentile.

Joey Wendle has an OPS of just .604 since the 2022 season -- 13th worst among hitters with at least 495 total PA's-- third Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .543 (555 PAs) since the 2022 season -- seventh best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Luis Severino has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 100% (14/14) of opposing batters this season -- tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 54% (169/311) against Nick Martinez in the 2023 season -- 8th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- 91st Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 74% (32/43) against Nick Martinez's curve and slider in the 2023 season -- highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 42% -- 100th Percentile.

Luis Severino has an ERA of 8.14 (48.2 IP) on the road since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 4.43 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 5th	NYM	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM -135
Apr 3rd	@PHI	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CIN +158
Apr 2nd	@PHI	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8	PHI +120
Apr 1st	@PHI	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8	CIN +122
Mar 31st	WSH	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN -175

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	99	5	7	1
LJ.Diekman, P	18	1	1	2
RY.Ramirez, P	53	2	3	5

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Nimmo, DH	2-4	0	2
2F.Lindor, SS	0-5	0	0
3P.Alonso, 1B	0-5	1	0
4B.Baty, 3B	2-5	1	1
5S.Marte, RF	2-4	2	0
6T.Taylor, LF	1-4	0	1
7J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	1	0
8H.Bader, CF	1-4	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	3-4	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Martinez, P	92	5	6	5
RB.Farmer, P	24	2	1	0
RE.Pagan, P	7	1	0	0
RA.Diaz, P	25	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	1
2W.Benson, CF	1-5	0	0	0
2S.Espinal, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	0-4	0	0	1
4J.Candelario, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
4B.Thompson, PR	0-1	1	0	0
4B.Thompson, CF	0-1	1	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	0-4	1	0	0
6E.De La Cruz, SS	1-3	3	0	2
7S.Steer, LF	2-3	2	1	3
8N.Martini, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8S.Fairchild, PH	2-2	1	0	1
8S.Fairchild, DH	2-2	1	0	1
9T.Stephenson, C	1-3	0	0	0