Mets vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - April 6, 2024

Mets at Reds

8:10 pm • SNY

New York Mets

7-6

6 - 9

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Martinez			3.10	10-7
L.Severino			3.91	11-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	+1.5-185	o9.5-102	+105
Reds 0-0	-1.5+154	u9.5-118	-125

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 06, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Under 9.5-115

1.15u

J.Fraley o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-110

1.1u

CIN -120 (F5)

… MLB f5 day game revenge Overall: 246-109-71,69% (ROI:9%) Season:1-1-0,50% (ROI:-26%)

Featured Insight
Mets have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 43% of their games since the 2022 season -- eighth lowest in MLB. The Reds have scored in at least three different innings in just 43% of their games since the 2022 season -- tied for eighth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the RedsRPs since the 2022 season -- ninth best in MLB. Mets hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 39% since the 2022 season -- ninth worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Cunningham's MLB Bets for Saturday
Brad Cunningham•
Apr 6, 2024 UTC

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The Reds are just 38-18 (.679) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Spencer Steer had an OPS of .701 with two strikes last season -- ninth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Luis Severino allowed an OPS of .702 (230 PAs) with two strikes last season -- third worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- second Percentile.

Joey Wendle has an OPS of just .604 since the 2022 season -- 13th worst among hitters with at least 495 total PA's-- third Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .543 (555 PAs) since the 2022 season -- seventh best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Luis Severino has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 100% (14/14) of opposing batters this season -- tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 54% (169/311) against Nick Martinez in the 2023 season -- 8th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- 91st Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 74% (32/43) against Nick Martinez's curve and slider in the 2023 season -- highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 42% -- 100th Percentile.

Luis Severino has an ERA of 8.14 (48.2 IP) on the road since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 4.43 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 5th	NYM	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM -135
Apr 3rd	@PHI	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CIN +158
Apr 2nd	@PHI	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8	PHI +120
Apr 1st	@PHI	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8	CIN +122
Mar 31st	WSH	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN -175

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	99	5	7	1
LJ.Diekman, P	18	1	1	2
RY.Ramirez, P	53	2	3	5

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Nimmo, DH	2-4	0	2
2F.Lindor, SS	0-5	0	0
3P.Alonso, 1B	0-5	1	0
4B.Baty, 3B	2-5	1	1
5S.Marte, RF	2-4	2	0
6T.Taylor, LF	1-4	0	1
7J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	1	0
8H.Bader, CF	1-4	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	3-4	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Martinez, P	92	5	6	5
RB.Farmer, P	24	2	1	0
RE.Pagan, P	7	1	0	0
RA.Diaz, P	25	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	1
2W.Benson, CF	1-5	0	0	0
2S.Espinal, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	0-4	0	0	1
4J.Candelario, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
4B.Thompson, PR	0-1	1	0	0
4B.Thompson, CF	0-1	1	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	0-4	1	0	0
6E.De La Cruz, SS	1-3	3	0	2
7S.Steer, LF	2-3	2	1	3
8N.Martini, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8S.Fairchild, PH	2-2	1	0	1
8S.Fairchild, DH	2-2	1	0	1
9T.Stephenson, C	1-3	0	0	0