Nationals vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - March 31, 2024

Nationals at Reds

5:40 pm • BSOH

Washington Nationals

9-9

5 - 6

Cincinnati Reds

9-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Martinez			3.10	10-7
J.Irvin			4.41	10-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 9-9	+1.5-135	o9.5-108	+145
Reds 9-9	-1.5+114	u9.5-112	-175

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

March 31, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

E.De La Cruz o0.5 HR+475

0.1u

J.Fraley o2.5 RBI+1600

0.25u

J.Fraley o0.5 RBI+180

0.75u

J.Fraley o1.5 RBI+500

0.5u

Over 9.5-105

0.25u

Small to -105

WSH +140

$50.00

Featured Insight
Nationals Left Handed Hitters struck out just 16% against RHP last season -- tied for lowest in MLB. RedsRPs had a strikeout rate of just 22% vs left-handed batters last season -- seventh lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents had a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the RedsRPs last season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Nationals hitters had a hard-hit rate of just 36% last season -- second worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: DiSturco's MLB Bets for Sunday
Charlie Disturco•
Mar 31, 2024 UTC

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The Reds are just 38-18 (.679) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Lane Thomas has struck out in 25% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th highest in MLB-- 14th Percentile. Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 35% since the 2022 season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Elly De La Cruz struck out in 34% of PA's last season -- 13th highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- third Percentile. Jose Alvarado had a strikeout rate of 37% last season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 74% (32/43) against Nick Martinez's curve and slider in the 2023 season -- highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 42% -- 100th Percentile.

Nick Martinez located his fastball inside 50% of the time (311/621) in the 2023 season -- 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 35% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	WSH	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 10.5	WSH -188
Mar 28th	WSH	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -155
Mar 24th	CLE	L 7-10	-1.5 L	O 14.5	CLE -122
Mar 23rd	COL	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 13.5	CIN -155
Mar 22nd	@ATH	L 6-8	-	-	-

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Irvin, P	80	5	4	3
LR.Garcia, P	14	1	1	0
RD.Floro, P	12	1	1	0
RH.Harvey, P	17	1	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	20	0.2	0	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-4	1	1	1
2L.Thomas, RF	1-4	0	0	3
3J.Winker, LF	2-3	0	0	0
3V.Robles, CF	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Meneses, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Gallo, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6K.Ruiz, C	0-5	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, CF	1-4	1	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	1-4	1	0	0
8L.Garcia, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
8N.Nunez, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Lipscomb, 3B	2-3	2	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Martinez, P	90	5	3	3
RE.Pagan, P	9	1	2	0
RB.Farmer, P	31	1	1	1
RT.Antone, P	11	0	0	1
RF.Cruz, P	8	1	1	0
RL.Sims, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
2W.Benson, CF	3-5	1	1	3
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	1-5	1	1	1
4J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	3-4	0	0	0
6E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	1	0	0
7S.Steer, LF	2-3	1	0	1
8N.Martini, DH	1-3	1	0	0
9T.Stephenson, C	1-3	0	0	0
9B.Thompson, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-1	0	0	0