Nationals vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - March 30, 2024

Nationals at Reds

8:10 pm • MASN2

Washington Nationals

13-16

7 - 6

Cincinnati Reds

18-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
P.Corbin			5.62	6-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 13-16	+1.5-122	o10.5-111	+157
Reds 18-10	-1.5+102	u10.5-109	-188

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

March 30, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

CIN -1.5+105

J.Candelario o2.5 RBI+1100

0.25u

J.Candelario o1.5 RBI+425

0.5u

J.Candelario o0.5 RBI+130

1.3u

E.De La Cruz o0.5 SB (Live)+152

0.25u

Under 5.5 (F5)-110

1.65u

P.Corbin u4.5 Ks-135

S.Steer o1.5 Total Bases-105

1.05u

CIN -1-135

E.De La Cruz To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes+135

$1.00

J.India o1.5 Total Bases+110

1.1u

CIN -0.5 (F5)-132

CIN -175

1.75u

CIN -1.5+123

CIN -152 (F5)

0.25u

Bet to -155

CIN -160

1.6u

H.Greene o6.5 Ks-139

0.5u

Over 4.5 (F5)-140

0.5u

Over 9-118

0.5u

Best hitting park outside Coors, Corbin all estimators > 5 - both defenses and bullpens likely bottom 5 MLB

CIN -156 (F5)

0.54u

Corbin one estimator below five last year, Greene one above four. Reds have obvious offensive edge (10 pts better v L/RHP last year) and even a small defensive one.

Over 4.5 (F5)-125

0.4u

Bet to 5 (-110). 5.5 (+130) at same book also bettable to +120

Over 9-115

0.5u

Bet to -127 or 9.5 (-108)

CIN -157

0.5u

Over 8.5-120

0.83u

Featured Insight
Nationals have struck out just 17% over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB. RedsRPs have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds have scored 5.4 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- tied for seventh highest in MLB (7 games). The Nationals have allowed 5.5 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- tied for sixth highest in MLB (6 games).

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MLB Best Bets: 4 Picks for Saturday's Slate
Action Network Staff•
Mar 30, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Cunningham's MLB Bets for Saturday
Brad Cunningham•
Mar 30, 2024 UTC

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The Reds are just 38-18 (.679) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Lane Thomas has struck out in 25% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 15th highest in MLB-- 15th Percentile. Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 31% since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

49% of Hunter Greene's strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 10-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Reds' 15 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	18-10	8-7	10-3	4-2	14-8
Nationals	16-13	4-9	12-4	0-1	16-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	16-11-1	10-5	6-6-1	3-3	13-8-1
Nationals	19-9-1	10-2-1	9-7	1-0	18-9-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	18-10	8-7	10-3	4-2	14-8
Nationals	13-16	3-10	10-6	0-1	13-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 28th	WSH	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -155
Mar 24th	CLE	L 7-10	-1.5 L	O 14.5	CLE -122
Mar 23rd	COL	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 13.5	CIN -155
Mar 22nd	@ATH	L 6-8	-	-	-
Mar 22nd	@SEA	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 11.5	SEA +120

Nick Lodolo
SP
Lodolo is out with finger
Out
Hunter Greene
SP
Greene is out with elbow
Out

Trevor Williams
SP
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Corbin, P	69	4.1	2	4
RD.Law, P	22	1.2	2	0
RJ.Weems, P	10	1	2	0
RH.Harvey, P	22	1	1	2
RK.Finnegan, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-2	3	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Winker, LF	2-4	1	0	1
3V.Robles, PR	0-0	1	0	0
3V.Robles, CF	0-0	1	0	0
4J.Meneses, DH	2-4	0	0	1
4N.Nunez, PR	0-0	1	0	0
4N.Nunez, DH	0-0	1	0	0
5J.Gallo, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6K.Ruiz, C	3-4	1	1	3
7E.Rosario, CF	1-4	0	0	1
7E.Rosario, LF	1-4	0	0	1
8L.Garcia, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
9T.Lipscomb, 3B	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	100	4.2	7	2
LJ.Wilson, P	17	1	1	0
RF.Cruz, P	20	1.1	4	1
RL.Sims, P	22	1	1	1
RA.Diaz, P	20	0.1	1	3
LB.Suter, P	4	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, DH	2-4	0	0	1
1B.Thompson, PR	0-0	1	0	0
1B.Thompson, DH	0-0	1	0	0
1T.Stephenson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2S.Steer, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2S.Steer, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Candelario, 3B	1-3	2	1	1
5S.Espinal, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
5N.Martini, PH	1-1	0	0	2
5J.Fraley, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7S.Fairchild, CF	2-4	1	0	0
8L.Maile, C	1-3	1	1	2
9W.Benson, RF	1-3	1	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	1-3	1	0	0