Nationals vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - March 30, 2024

Nationals at Reds

8:10 pm • MASN2

Washington Nationals

0-0

7 - 6

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
P.Corbin			5.62	6-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-122	o10.5-111	+157
Reds 0-0	-1.5+102	u10.5-109	-188

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

March 30, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

J.Candelario o1.5 RBI+425

0.5u

J.Candelario o2.5 RBI+1100

0.25u

J.Candelario o0.5 RBI+130

1.3u

E.De La Cruz o0.5 SB (Live)+152

0.25u

Under 5.5 (F5)-110

1.65u

S.Steer o1.5 Total Bases-105

1.05u

P.Corbin u4.5 Ks-135

CIN -1-135

J.India o1.5 Total Bases+110

1.1u

CIN -0.5 (F5)-132

CIN -1.5+123

CIN -152 (F5)

0.25u

Bet to -155

Over 9-115

0.5u

Bet to -127 or 9.5 (-108)

Over 4.5 (F5)-125

0.4u

Bet to 5 (-110). 5.5 (+130) at same book also bettable to +120

CIN -164

1.64u

Featured Insight
Nationals have struck out just 17% over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB. RedsRPs have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds have scored 5.4 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- tied for seventh highest in MLB (7 games). The Nationals have allowed 5.5 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- tied for sixth highest in MLB (6 games).

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MLB Best Bets: 4 Picks for Saturday's Slate
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Mar 30, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Cunningham's MLB Bets for Saturday
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Mar 30, 2024 UTC

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The Reds are just 38-18 (.679) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Lane Thomas has struck out in 25% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 15th highest in MLB-- 15th Percentile. Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 31% since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

49% of Hunter Greene's strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 28th	WSH	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -155
Mar 24th	CLE	L 7-10	-1.5 L	O 14.5	CLE -122
Mar 23rd	COL	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 13.5	CIN -155
Mar 22nd	@ATH	L 6-8	-	-	-
Mar 22nd	@SEA	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 11.5	SEA +120

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Corbin, P	69	4.1	2	4
RD.Law, P	22	1.2	2	0
RJ.Weems, P	10	1	2	0
RH.Harvey, P	22	1	1	2
RK.Finnegan, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-2	3	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Winker, LF	2-4	1	0	1
3V.Robles, PR	0-0	1	0	0
3V.Robles, CF	0-0	1	0	0
4J.Meneses, DH	2-4	0	0	1
4N.Nunez, PR	0-0	1	0	0
4N.Nunez, DH	0-0	1	0	0
5J.Gallo, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6K.Ruiz, C	3-4	1	1	3
7E.Rosario, CF	1-4	0	0	1
7E.Rosario, LF	1-4	0	0	1
8L.Garcia, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
9T.Lipscomb, 3B	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	100	4.2	7	2
LJ.Wilson, P	17	1	1	0
RF.Cruz, P	20	1.1	4	1
RL.Sims, P	22	1	1	1
RA.Diaz, P	20	0.1	1	3
LB.Suter, P	4	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, DH	2-4	0	0	1
1B.Thompson, PR	0-0	1	0	0
1B.Thompson, DH	0-0	1	0	0
1T.Stephenson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2S.Steer, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2S.Steer, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Candelario, 3B	1-3	2	1	1
5S.Espinal, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
5N.Martini, PH	1-1	0	0	2
5J.Fraley, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7S.Fairchild, CF	2-4	1	0	0
8L.Maile, C	1-3	1	1	2
9W.Benson, RF	1-3	1	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	1-3	1	0	0