Mets vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - July 26, 2023

Mets at Yankees

11:05 pm • YES

New York Mets

8-10

1 - 3

New York Yankees

9-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rodon			6.86	3-8
J.Quintana			3.57	3-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 8-10	+1.5-168	o8.5-115	+120
Yankees 9-9	-1.5+139	u8.5-105	-145

Wednesday 11:05 p.m.

July 26, 2023

Yankee StadiumBronx

C.Rodon u16.5 Outs-130

1.3u

Under in each of his first three starts - running a 60% strike rate right now, as he’s really been struggling to locate. I like the Mets righty platoon - and as a team, they won’t chase pitches outside the zone (5th lowest chase rate this season, 4th lowest the L30 days). And Yanks 4 high leverage relievers (Holmes, King, Wandy and Kahnle) all on 2+ days of rest. Boone will pull out all the stops to salvage the series split, and that typically involves a short leash for his starter.

Under 8.5-105

Over 8.5-110

1.1u

Over 8.5-110

0.55u

Need -110

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The Mets are just 3-12 (.200) after a loss as underdogs this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.

Jeff McNeil has a miss rate of only 13% on elevated fastballs since last season -- seventh best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Carlos Rodon has located his fastball up 65% of the time since last season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

67% of Francisco Lindor fastball strikeouts were elevated last season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 68% of Carlos Rodon fastball strikeouts were elevated last season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 31% (49 SO in 159 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 20% -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .319 (60-for-188) against Jose Quintana versus the bottom of the order since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .234 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 25th	NYM	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM -105
Jul 23rd	KC	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 9	NYY -198
Jul 22nd	KC	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8	NYY -272
Jul 21st	KC	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	NYY -202
Jul 19th	@LAA	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 9	LAA -144

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out

Clarke Schmidt
P
Schmidt is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	94	6	5	2
RD.Smith, P	12	1	0	0
RT.Gott, P	17	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-3	0	1
2M.Vientos, 3B	1-4	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	0-2	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0
5T.Pham, DH	0-4	0	0
6J.McNeil, RF	0-3	0	0
7M.Canha, LF	1-2	0	0
7B.Baty, PH	0-1	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	1-4	1	0
9D.Mendick, 2B	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Rodon, P	93	5.2	4	1
RM.King, P	3	0.1	0	0
LW.Peralta, P	15	1	2	0
RT.Kahnle, P	15	1	1	0
RC.Holmes, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, LF	1-2	0	1
2G.Torres, DH	1-4	0	0
3G.Stanton, RF	0-4	0	0
3G. Allen, RF	0-0	0	0
4A.Rizzo, 1B	0-4	0	0
5D.LeMahieu, 3B	0-1	1	0
6H.Bader, CF	3-4	2	0
7A.Volpe, SS	1-2	0	1
8K.Higashioka, C	0-3	0	0
9O.Peraza, 2B	0-3	0	1