Phillies vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 31, 2023

Phillies at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

4 - 2

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
E.Cabrera			4.24	7-7
T.Walker			4.38	15-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+159	o8.5-110	-102
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-182	u8.5-110	-116

Monday 10:40 p.m.

July 31, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

Under 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -105

Under 8.5-115

$25.00

MIA -115 (F5)

1.15u

MIA -105 (F5)

1.05u

Featured Insight
The Marlins have scored in at least three different innings in just 43% of their games over the last week -- eighth-lowest in MLB. Phillies have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 46% of their games over the last week -- 10th-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Phillies Left Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against RHP over the last week -- ninth-highest in MLB. Marlins have a strikeout rate of 26% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- tied for highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Monday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 31, 2023 UTC
Phillies vs. Marlins: How to Fade Taijuan Walker
Tony Sartori•
Jul 31, 2023 UTC

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The Phillies are just 24-41 (.369) after a road loss since last season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 30% of PA's this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Steven Okert has a strikeout rate of 34% this season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Nick Castellanos has 10 home runs on breaking pitches this season -- tied for ninth most in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Steven Okert has thrown his slider 64% of the time this season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (17/125) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- first Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has walked 28 of 228 left-handed batters (12%) this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- fifth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 30th	DET	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 7	MIA -159
Jul 29th	DET	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -158
Jul 28th	DET	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIA -161
Jul 26th	@TB	W 7-1	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIA +147
Jul 25th	@TB	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +173

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	100	6.2	4	2
LM.Strahm, P	15	0.2	1	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	8	0.2	0	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	0-3	1	0
1E.Sosa, 3B	0-0	0	0
2A.Bohm, 3B	2-3	0	1
2A.Bohm, 1B	2-3	0	1
3B.Harper, DH	1-5	0	0
4J.Realmuto, C	1-3	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	0-4	0	1
6T.Turner, SS	1-4	1	0
7B.Marsh, RF	0-2	1	0
8J.Cave, 1B	0-3	0	0
8J.Cave, LF	0-3	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-3	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Cabrera, P	76	3	3	2
LS.Okert, P	33	2	2	0
LA.Puk, P	14	1	2	0
LT.Scott, P	16	1	0	1
RH.Brazoban, P	43	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	3-4	1	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	2-4	1	1	2
3B.De La Cruz, RF	0-3	0	0	0
4J.Chisholm, CF	1-3	0	0	0
5G.Cooper, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Berti, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Wendle, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8J. Segura, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Sanchez, PH	0-1	0	0	0