Phillies vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 22, 2024

Phillies at Twins

11:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

2 - 7

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ober			3.98	12-9
R.Suarez			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5	-1.5+140	o8.5+100	-115
Twins 0-0	u8	+1.5-167	u8.5-120	-103

Monday 11:40 p.m.

July 22, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

Over 8.5+100

R.Suarez o4.5 Ks+105

MIN +110

1.1u

Over 8-110

0.45u

Flat to -119 or 8.5 (-101)

Featured Insight
The Phillies have scored first in 64% of their games this month -- tied for fourth highest in MLB. The Twins have allowed their opponents to score first in 69% of their games this month -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Twins hitters have an OPS of .796 this month -- fifth best in MLB. Phillies RPs have allowed an OPS of .843 (228 PAs) this month -- third worst in MLB.

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The Twins are just 4-8 (.333) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Christian Vazquez has an OPS of just .517 this season -- sixth worst among hitters with at least 147 total PA's-- first Percentile. Jeff Hoffman has allowed an OPS of just .499 (163 PAs) this season -- 14th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Trea Turner is batting .472 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- ninth best among hitters with at least 147 total PA's-- 94th Percentile. Bailey Ober has a strike rate of 69% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (31/103) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (89/267) against Bailey Ober this season -- tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 21st	MIL	L 7-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -162
Jul 20th	MIL	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -125
Jul 14th	@SF	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SF +138
Jul 13th	@SF	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8	MIN +110
Jul 13th	@SF	L 1-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	SF -148

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Suarez, P	79	5.1	4	3
RO.Kerkering, P	14	0.2	1	0
RS.Dominguez, P	22	1	1	1
RY.Marte, P	36	1	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-3	1	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
4A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Realmuto, C	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Castellanos, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7B.Stott, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8W.Wilson, LF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9B.Marsh, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Marsh, CF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P		83	7	4	2
RC.Sands, P		30	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Margot, LF	2-5	0	2
2R.Jeffers, C	2-5	1	0
3W.Castro, SS	1-4	0	2
4B.Buxton, CF	0-5	0	0
5C.Santana, 1B	2-4	0	1
6B.Lee, 2B	1-5	0	0
6B.Lee, 3B	1-5	0	0
7J.Camargo, DH	0-2	0	0
7T.Larnach, PH	1-1	0	0
7T.Larnach, DH	1-1	0	0
7A.Martin, PR	0-0	1	0
7A.Martin, DH	0-0	1	0
8M.Kepler, RF	2-3	2	1
9D.Castillo, 3B	1-1	2	0
9E.Julien, PH	0-1	1	0
9E.Julien, 2B	0-1	1	0