Pirates vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 13, 2024

Pirates at Brewers

11:40 pm • BSWI

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

8 - 6

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rea			4.29	12-6
M.Keller			4.25	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-177	o8.5-102	+120
Brewers 1-2	-1.5+147	u8.5-119	-142

Monday 11:40 p.m.

May 13, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

W.Contreras o1.5 Total Bases+110

1.1u

MIL -1.5+150

MIL -137

1.37u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)+100

0.5u

C.Yelich o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-135

0.5u

C.Yelich o0.5 HR+560

0.1u

MIL -134

0.67u

MIL -1.5+162

0.5u

MIL -130

Bet to -143. Reduce risk past -130

Featured Insight
Pirates RPs have a strikeout rate of 28% vs right-handed batters this season -- highest in MLB. Brewers right-handed hitters have struck out 26% against LHP this season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season -- lowest in MLB. The Pirates have scored in at least three different innings in just 39% of their games since last season -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Brewers are 63-48 (.568) after a win since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

William Contreras has an OPS of .856 since the 2022 season -- 13th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Josh Fleming has allowed an OPS of .838 (467 PAs) since the 2022 season -- third worst among qualified RPs-- first Percentile.

35% of Brice Turang strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- third highest among hitters with at least 541 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 48% of Mitch Keller's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Colin Rea has struck out just 14% (13/94) of left-handed batters he faced this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .282 (161-for-571) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 -- seventh Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 12th	STL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	STL -155
May 11th	STL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL -185
May 11th	STL	W 11-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL -125
May 9th	STL	W 7-1	-	-	-
May 8th	@KC	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	KC +102

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	100	6	7	0
LJ.Fleming, P	40	1	1	5
RH.Stratton, P	21	1	2	0
RD.Bednar, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	2-5	2	0	1
2B.Reynolds, RF	5-5	1	1	2
3O.Cruz, SS	2-4	1	0	1
4J.Suwinski, LF	1-4	1	1	2
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Tellez, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
8Y.Grandal, C	1-4	1	1	2
9M.Taylor, CF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	103	6	5	3
RT.Vieira, P	19	0.1	0	2
RM.White, P	23	1.2	1	2
RJ.Payamps, P	25	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
1A.Monasterio, PH	0-0	1	0	0
1A.Monasterio, 2B	0-0	1	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	3-5	1	0	0
3C.Yelich, DH	1-5	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	1-5	0	0	2
5R.Hoskins, 1B	1-1	0	0	0
5B.Perkins, PR	1-4	1	0	0
5B.Perkins, CF	1-4	1	0	0
6S.Frelick, CF	1-3	0	0	0
6S.Frelick, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6G.Sanchez, PH	1-2	1	0	0
6G.Sanchez, 1B	1-2	1	0	0
7J.Ortiz, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
8J.Bauers, LF	2-4	1	1	4
8J.Bauers, 1B	2-4	1	1	4
8J.Bauers, RF	2-4	1	1	4
9J.Chourio, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Chourio, LF	0-4	0	0	0