Pirates vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Pirates at Mets

5:10 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

1 - 9

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
B.Falter			4.43	8-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-163	o7.5-117	+135
Mets 7-6	-1.5+138	u7.5-108	-162

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

April 17, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

L.Severino u6.5 Ks (Live)-160

NYM -1-110

1.82u

NYM -150

0.25u

Superbook. Bump another 0.25u at -155 or better

NYM -135

0.74u

... home favs off a short win in a non division game and were fav last game Overall: 571-319-0,64% (ROI:11%) Season:1-4-0,20% (ROI:-65%)

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

0.5u

PIT u3.5 Team Total+100

0.5u

NYM -133

NYM -135 (F5)

NYM -134

NYM -132

0.38u

Update: Bet to -155 after lineups

NYM -132 (F5)

0.38u

Update: Bet to -155 after lineups

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters had a hard-hit rate of 41% last season -- tied for ninth best in MLB. Opponents had a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Mets last season -- sixth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets have struck out just 21% since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB. Pirates have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the 2022 season -- sixth lowest in MLB.

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The Mets are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

31% of Ke'Bryan Hayes strikeouts are looking since last season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 36% of Adam Ottavino strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Francisco Lindor has struck out in just 11% of PA's this season -- 13th lowest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 10% this season -- tied for third lowest among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP-- second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 57% (80/140) against Luis Severino this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- 98th Percentile.

Luis Severino allowed an OPS of .921 (417 PA's) in the 2023 season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .736 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	PIT	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	NYM -112
Apr 15th	PIT	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM -125
Apr 14th	KC	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM -112
Apr 13th	KC	L 7-11	-1.5 L	O 8.5	KC -166
Apr 12th	KC	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM -142

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	73	5	4	2
RH.Stratton, P	21	1	1	4
RR.Ryan, P	7	1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	30	0.2	2	3
LJ.Fleming, P	7	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Cruz, SS	2-4	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	1-3	0	1
3C.Joe, LF	0-3	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	1-4	0	0
5E.Olivares, RF	0-3	0	0
6J.Suwinski, CF	0-4	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-3	0	0
8H.Davis, C	0-2	1	0
9A.Williams, 2B	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RL.Severino, P	96	6	4
RJ.Lopez, P	13	1	1
LJ.Diekman, P	15	1	2
RG.Hartwig, P	15	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	2-5	0	0	2
1J.Wendle, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
2S.Marte, DH	1-5	1	1	2
3F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-2	2	0	0
5J.McNeil, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
5J.McNeil, LF	1-3	1	0	0
6F.Alvarez, C	1-4	1	0	1
7T.Taylor, RF	3-4	1	0	2
8H.Bader, CF	1-4	1	1	2
9Z.Short, 3B	0-3	1	0	0